Showing posts with label New York Jets. Show all posts
Showing posts with label New York Jets. Show all posts

Friday, July 31, 2015

Russell Wilson Signs Four-Year, $87.6 Million Contract; Second-Highest Paid QB; We Can Finally Stop Talking About His Stupid Contract

Today was the deadline for Russell Wilson to negotiate a new deal beyond this season or else he was going to play out his last year. In the 11th hour, Wilson and the Seahawks agreed on a four-year, $87.6 million contract with $30 million up automatically up front and $60 total is guaranteed. Wilson did not get his $25 million a year he originally wanted but did get just under the $22 million Aaron Rodgers got.

He is not worth as much if not more than Rodgers or one of the top 3-5 QBs in the NFL. However, he is still a good, top 8-10 QB in this league and in a quarterback driven league starved with a franchise QB, you have to pay and overpay for one of the top-10 Qbs in the league. Wilson might not be worth it in the eyes of many especially because of the "Legion of Boom" defense and Marshawn Lynch. Two things, one the Seahawks think he's worth it and two, who will you get that's better?

Can you get Rodgers, Brady, Luck, Brees, Manning, or Roethlisberger? I didn't think so and those guys are the ones that are an upgrade over Wilson. Guys like Rivers, Romo, Flacco, are maybe slightly better or about the same. Point is 20% of the league has guys better than Wilson while another 10-15% have as good of a QB as him. A little more than 2/3 of the teams in the NFL are worse off than Seattle having Russell Wilson. That's why ladies and gentlemen he's making as much money as he does.

He has won a Super Bowl and been to another and would have won two had Pete Carroll ran Lynch instead of throwing it, can you believe that? Regardless, Wilson has two Super Bowl appearances in his first three years in the league. I can't think of any QB that has done that in league history. Tom Brady has been to two Super Bowls in his first three seasons as a starter but it was his fourth season. Same with Kurt Warner in two of his first three years as a starting QB but he bounced around the league a year or two before.

Whether you think Wilson or Joe Flacco or Eli Manning are great or not, they've won Super Bowls and you get rewarded for being a Super Bowl winning quarterback even if your not the best or one of the top-5. Also, you don't want to be a team that is looking for a franchise Quarterback. As a Bills fan, I can tell you it sucks to be still searching for a QB as we have since Jim Kelly retired two decades ago.

I wish we can have a guy like Wilson or Flacco or Eli where many experts say he's not the best and we have to overpay, but we still win games and even a Super Bowl. Hell, I'd be excited if we had a Tony Romo. Seattle, trust me you don't want that it's good you paid the man even if it's a lot more than you want to pay. I am not that greedy. Yes I want Rodgers or Luck but I'd "settle" for a Wilson or Flacco or Romo or Rivers. I'd even go Matt Stafford or Cam Newton.

Wilson will always not be given a lot of credit by many because of the fact Lynch is a great runner and the fact their defense is the best in the league. Wilson doesn't throw it a ton so he doesn't put up eye popping fantasy stats like Rodgers, Brees, or Manning. Seattle has been 32nd, 31st, and 32nd in pass attempts in Wilson's three seasons, but first, second, and first in rushing attempts so obviously they run more than they throw thanks to the fact they have Lynch and that Wilson is a great runner too.

But if you look at some of Wilson's passing numbers for as few attempts as he gets, it's actually pretty amazing. He completes nearly 2/3 of his passes with an overall passer rating of 98.6. It gets even better as his total yards per pass attempt is 7.9 and has thrown 72 touchdowns to just 26 interceptions, almost a 3:1 touchdown-to-interception ratio for his career. That is amazing considering he doesn't have many weapons as a wide receiver or tight end to throw to.

Even when Wilson struggles, like last year's NFC Championship Game win over Green Bay, he plays well in the 4th quarter and overtime as he saves his best for last. Even in the second half of the season, he's better as his QB Ratings in the months of November, December, and January/February (playoffs/Super Bowl) are 108.3, 100.7, and 97.8, respectively.

To show Wilson's value to the team, Pete Carroll was about to be fired three years ago when Wilson won the starting job as a rookie as he had back-to-back 7-9 seasons. Since then, the Seahawks are 36-12 (42-14 if you count playoffs including a Super Bowl win) with Wilson starting. For those that think the defense is the reason they win, you are somewhat right but don't forget, they were 14-18 the two seasons before Wilson got there with Matt Hasselbeck, Charlie Whitehurst, and Tavaris Jackson starting at QB with an elite defense.

Even Lynch had been there before Wilson, but his best seasons in terms or rushing yards, yards per carry, and touchdowns have all been there with Wilson starting as Wilson is a threat to throw or run. Teams just don't have to focus on stopping Lynch, which isn't easy by the way, and have to worry about Wilson.

The QB ultimately matters the most of any position on the field. We shall see however if Wilson can still be as successful with a defense that will be losing players in the future thanks to the salary cap and Lynch as well. We will wait and see and if Wilson struggles without an elite defense and Lynch, I'll stand corrected. Until then, I think highly of Wilson and value him a lot more than others.

In other news, New York Jets stud defensive lineman Sheldon Richardson has been busted for resisting arrest for an incident of a high speed road race.. It's not just high (no pun intended) speeding it's over 140 mph. 140 mph and it's not on a race track rather our beloved public streets. If that's not enough, all the passengers in the car allegedly were high and there was a loaded hand gun in the car.

If Dareus got one game for his drag racing along with marijuana charges, what's Richardson going to get for going close to three times the speed limit on the fastest roads in America between 55-65 mph, assuming he did they on a thruway or an unpopulated country back road. Don't forget, Richardson is already suspended for the first four games this season for violating the league's substance abuse policy. He apparently was arrested for this incident on July 14, two weeks after the suspension was handed down. He never let the Jets know he was arrested.

How does he treat being suspended for drug use? By going Jimmie Johnson, Jeff Gordon, Kevin Harvick, Kyle Busch, and Dale Earnhardt Jr. rolled into one but they don't smoke chronic nor have loaded hand guns in their car. If Richardson wants a year vacation, he might end up getting it because I could see this being a year-long, maybe half a season long suspension. It doesn't look good for Richardson.

It goes to show you the offseason is too damn long as Richardson's racing incident (even Dareus' racing incident a year ago), Wilson's on-going contract talks, Brady's possible suspension, Ronald Darby's tweets, Aaron Kromer's hitting a kid (allegedly), heck even LeSean McCoy's famous or infamous party invite are demonstrations as to the league having way too long of an offseason and football can't start soon enough.

Tuesday, July 28, 2015

NFL Upholds Tom Brady Suspension; He's Still Suspended Four Games, but the First Four? We'll See

Tom Brady's appeal to Roger Goodell of the four-game suspension was denied as he currently is suspended for the first four games of the season, including the Bills game here on September 20. The reason for the NFL upholding the suspension is that they said Brady was not cooperative with the investigation and not turning his phone over and being very defiant throughout the investigation. They felt he's been tampering with the investigation thus the cover up is worse than the crime.

I see why Brady fights it because 1.) he doesn't want to miss games and try to clear his name which might never happen, and 2.) he knows he's Tom Brady and he can get away with anything. He's been getting away with stuff for 10-15 years. The Patriots cheat all the time and while they got punished for Spy Gate, they still got away with a not so harsh penalty which should have involved suspensions. They believe they are above the league and can do whatever they want and get away with it.

I don't know but I doubt the CBA has anything where the league can ask for your phone and you have to give it over. I bet it doesn't if it does Brady is screwed. If not, then the NFL can't prove even with the Wells Report and the looks of him cheating. But it appears they can't prove he did it if he went ahead and destroyed his phone instead of turning it over, therefore a settlement will probably be determined.

However, the CBA states Goodell has the ability to punish anyone who performs transgressions on the field and deflating footballs . Of course Goodell comes under intense scrutiny for punishing players due to last year's Ray Rice punching his then-fiance out and only giving him two games. Greg Hardy's 10 game suspension for domestic violence was reduced to four games, the same length as Brady. Yes obviously hitting a woman is a lot worse but as I wrote earlier (http://buffalosportsbeat.blogspot.com/2015/07/greg-hardys-suspension-reduced-to-4.html) Hardy is essentially suspended 19 games because he missed the last 15 games of last season as he was sat down by the Panthers.

The thing is not that they are looking for his phone as the Patriots did turn over all electronic data just not Brady's phone. That stupid laugh of Brady's the day after the story came out on Boston radio not only makes him guilty but makes me want to punch him or hit him with an object as hard as possible. Why does he destroy his phone instead of not turning it over? Why wouldn't he want to shove it in the league's face and the detractors that he didn't do it by showing his phone and clearing his name? Obviously he's guilty.

If nothing was done, how come the Patriots suspended the two employees who Brady made sure the balls were deflated to his liking? The Patriots accepted the $1 million fine and loss of draft picks (including next year's first round) without a fight as they basically want to end it, but they "did not cheat" according to Robert Kraft they just want it to end. Obviously, they knew they did something wrong or else they'd fight a lot harder. They believe they got off pretty light. However, Brady is making it so hard and ruining their credibility.

I think they want everyone to move on and want Brady to sit and take his suspension and prepare with either Jimmy Garoppolo or Matt Flynn in training camp and preseason in preparation for the first four games. They'd rather let the two QBs, preferably last year's 2nd round pick Garoppolo, prepare and get ready instead of having the suspension possibly moved to the middle or even end of the season where they might enter the games cold instead of full on preparation with a full training camp and preseason with the starters.

Why couldn't Brady be suspended longer? If I were the league, I'd suspend Brady for four games, but they are to start in the playoffs. If the Patriots play four playoff games, Brady is gone from every one of them. If they only play three playoff games, Brady is suspended for the opener the following season as the suspension carries over. If they play two, he misses the first two games the following season, and so on. He cheated in the playoffs and they won the Super Bowl as a result, he should not be allowed to play in the playoffs. I'd make an unusual penalty for Brady to show you don't do that to my game and my league.

The NFLPA is probably trying to push the suspension as long as possible by going to court so when it comes whenever it does, Brady can just retire as he will be 38 when the season starts. There's a chance Brady might play against the Bills Sept. 20 if it goes to court and it could allow him to play while the hearing is going on. I know Bills fans want to see Brady go against Rex Ryan and beat them in a game in which means more beating Brady then say Garoppolo.

My take on that is sure I'd like to beat Brady's smug and arrogant ass. But Brady beats the Bills as he is 23-3 with 58 touchdowns, just 19 interceptions, and a 101.2 QB Rating in 26 games all-time against the Bills. Last year after Brady struggled early in the year, I thought he was easy pickings for the Bills before he destroyed them in the second half of the game here and I made it a point never to assume we're just going to beat him even with an improved head coach.

Brady has struggled against Ryan more than any other head coach he's faced as he has a 61.8 QBR (73.4 against everyone else) and under 60% completion all-time against Ryan (65% all-time against everyone else) and the Patriots' yards and points per game drop significantly against Ryan's defense than everyone else. But he's still 9-4 all-time against Ryan because Ryan has had Mark Sanchez and Geno Smith at QB and Ryan still doesn't have a great QB here.

I want to beat Brady but I also want to win a game, especially in my division Brady or not, it still counts. Playing Garoppolo gives us the better chance to win than playing Brady and early in the season I want wins. This isn't anything like last year's season-finale where the game meant nothing for both teams, it means a lot for both. A win is a win and I'd rather win than face Brady with a good chance to lose. Besides, we'll play him later so we'll get a chance to see what Ryan and the Bills can do.

I have one more thing to say, why didn't Pete Carroll run Marshawn Lynch? This wouldn't be as bad if he ran the ball with Lynch and won the Super Bowl. I don't think I couldn't hate Carroll more than I do now and every time I see the Patriots, Brady, and especially if Brady gets off with less games or none, I'll always think back to the time Carroll decided to throw the football instead of run Lynch.

Monday, July 27, 2015

The 49ers Should Look into Trading Colin Kaepernick; There is still a big Market for Him

It's no secret that Colin Kaepernick has fallen over the last year since he replaced Alex Smith three years ago and took the team to the Super Bowl his first year and the NFC Championship Game his second before falling to 8-8 with a down year. He's tied for 18th in this Mike Sando QB rankings article (http://abcnews.go.com/Sports/2015-nfl-qb-tier-rankings/story?id=32652348). Kaepernick has shown flashes of brilliance as a playmaker, but has also shown inaccuaracy and immaturity. His quarterback rating and QBR has fallen steadily each of his three seasons and dropped from 14th in the rankings the previous year to tied for 18th this year in this article. He'll never be an elite or even a "franchise QB."

That does not mean however that there is not a place for Kaepernick in the NFL and there are some teams who could use Kaepernick and his mobility and strong arm more than the current starting QB(s) that they have. Cleveland definitely would and should get him over their bums in Josh McCown and Johnny Manziel. Houston definitely as well with that talented roster, he's much better than Brian Hoyer and Ryan Mallett.

Washington could because they need to move on from RGIII, I think Kaepernick is better. But Washington will be terrible and will likely be challenging for the first pick of the draft and will draft their next QB. The New York Jets are another team Kaepernick would a very good option for with that defense and bringing in Brandon Marshall. He is definitely much better than either Geno Smith or Ryan Fitzpatrick. Plus I wanted to see what Kaepernick could have done in Chan Gailey's offense when Gailey was here as I wanted them to draft Kaepernick.

I'm not advocating the Bills trade for Kaepernick (http://buffalosportsbeat.blogspot.com/2015/07/which-qb-would-you-trade-dareus-for.html) but I would definitely bring him in here for the right price. He's definitely better than E.J. Manuel, Matt Cassel, and Tyrod Taylor that's for sure. With this defense, he could hopefully do things like he did in San Francisco and take this team to the playoffs. I doubt they would bring him in and who knows how he and Greg Roman's relationship is after Roman got fired because Kaepernick regressed last season.

I do think the 49ers should trade him and get whatever they can while they can fetch a pretty good price. I know he's declining but there is always a market for a QB who's taken his team to the Super Bowl and NFC Championship Game back-to-back seasons who's still better than 40% of the starting QBs in the NFL. Why should the 49ers trade him if he's still a pretty decent QB? Kaepernick is decent but not an elite QB and they should try to look to get better at the game's most important position. You can do worse, but you can try and do a lot better as well. Plus Kaepernick makes a ton of money thanks to last year's contract.

Another reason why they should trade him is I believe the 49ers will be one of the worst teams in the NFL and will be challenging for the top pick in the draft. That's even with Kaepernick as starting QB. Why not move on from him while he still has value and completely bottom out for one of the top QBs in this year's draft such as Connor Cook, Christian Hackenberg, and Cardale Jones? If Kaepernick is still there and they go 4-12, his market value is all but shot. Now you can probably get a 3rd, maybe even a 2nd round pick for Kaepernick.

The 49ers are a mess with many of the players from their Super Bowl team in 2012 either leaving in free agency, traded, or flat out retired along with a QB that has regressed when he was the talk of the town after replacing an injured Alex Smith. The talent level might now be one of the worst in the league (certainly a lot worse than the team across the Golden Gate Bridge the Oakland Raiders) so they're in line for one of the top picks in the draft. They need to start over and should look for the franchise QB that can take this team to the Super Bowl. I think it's best to start over and give Kaepernick a change of scenery. If this team was built to win now then of course keep Kaepernick. But it's not and try something else.

Of course there's this thing where Jim Harbaugh was fired because of an idiot GM in Trent Baalke that can't work with him. Harbaugh is an ass and a weirdo but he's won. Deal with it. He might be hard to work with and can wear people out but remember how terrible you guys were for a decade before he came here. They replaced a great coach with this guy Jim Tomsula.

In case you don't know who he is watch these two videos (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K1MQJ0JKIxQ) (http://sports.yahoo.com/blogs/nfl-shutdown-corner/new-49ers-head-coach-gets-a-little-grunty-in-his-first-interview-231453338.html?pt=tAD4SCT8P72012-08-02.html/). Doesn't this guy inspire you? Baalke should have been fired for thinking he should have fired Harbaugh especially knowing you are hiring this guy to replace him. What a difference between his and Rex Ryan's press conferences.

Apparently he doesn't want to "play the name game." Why? The name game is fun! Also his thing where he says he doesn't (or doesn't he say doesn't) want to say names out of "respect to those people." What are these people dead? What the heck does he mean by that? You don't say out of respect for (fill in name) unless it's a tragedy and coaching changes aren't a tragedy. It's not like he can't say a certain name because that guy is under contract. The interviewer was asking about Marc Trestman, who was fired by the Bears right after the season and wasn't under contract so he could mention him.

More bad PR as the 49ers continue to fail in this department when owner Jed York somewhat compared Tomsula to Golden State Warriors head coach Steve Kerr (http://jimrome.com/2015/07/22/the-next-steve-kerr/). He did make it a point to point out how the fellow NBA Bay Area team fired a good coach in it's own right in Mark Jackson,who helped bring the Warriors back to the promised land if you will by taking a team that was a joke for over two decades to making the playoffs in back to back years, to replace him with a coach who wasn't a head coach ever.

Fans must have been furious firing a head coach who's taken their team to places they haven't been in 25 years or so, but management to their credit felt they could have done better. I guess winning a league-high 67 games and winning the first NBA title for the team in 40 years is a little better. I guess Harbaugh is being compared to Jackson and Tomsula is being compared to Kerr. That's wrong in so many ways and I don't have to explain them, you know them. Harbaugh did turn around the 49ers quickly like Jackson did with the Warriors, but Harbaugh did more and went further in the postseason than Jackson did.

Kerr won numerous NBA championships as a player, playing and learning from the best coach in NBA history in Phil Jackson. Tomsula was coaching in no name colleges and NFL Europe. Kerr was a GM for three years with the Phoenix Suns as well as spent numerous years as a TV analyst for NBA games. Tomsula could barely analyze a Burger King menu and he never did anything but be a defensive line coach, not a coordinator not an assistant head coach.

Oh I am sorry, he was an interim head coach for the 49ers for the last game of the 2010 season when he replaced the fired Mike Singletary (remember how terrible he was?) and then was kept on as defensive line coach by Harbaugh. Kerr also has the two best shooters in the NBA while Tomsula lost a ton of talent. Close York but no cigar!

I don't know why but I would bet money that Tomsula is punt on 4th down, play field position coach. Call me crazy it's just a silly hunch. Enjoy San Francisco, this is who you have leading your team right now. I bet you miss Harbaugh badly and the season hasn't even started.

Saturday, July 4, 2015

The Bills Might Not Have the Worst QB Situation as MMQB Suggests but I think It's Very Close to the Worst; It Could Cost the Bills the Playoffs

I know the Buffalo Bills don't have the best QB situation in the NFL (far from it) but according to this MMQB article writen by Andy Benoit (http://mmqb.si.com/2015/07/03/nfl-quarterback-rankings/3/) the Bills rank dead last in the NFL in terms of starting QB. ESPN did not give the Bills a high ranking either based on their outlook on the next three seasons (http://insider.espn.go.com/nfl/insider/story/_/id/13129838/ranking-nfl-teams-1-32-based-their-outlook-next-three-seasons-nfl). They ranked 26th for those who don't have ESPN insider mainly because their QB situation.

They ranked well in all the rest of the categories except QB. QB is like the exam and/or mid-term or even project/report that counts for the majority of your overall grade in school. You can do very well on the other tests and homework assignments, but bomb on the final exam or whatever counts for the majority of your final grade and watch your grade drop. This is that exact case. Although in the ESPN article it's not entirely fair to judge because we have no idea who or what the QB situation will be. Maybe a Philip Rivers or Drew Brees or someone you never think possible could be available or maybe they draft one (I assume unless one of these QBs succeeds they will be drafting one next year no doubt about it). So we can't assume next year or the year after they'll be having the same QBs as this year. In fact i'll assume they won't, I'll bet on it.

Back to Benoit's article he ranked the teams by starting QB. He assumes Matt Cassel is 32nd/dead last. There's the consensus if they put either E.J. Manuel or Tyrod Taylor in instead of Cassel that they still are the worst in terms of QB or it's a fancier way of saying they have the worst crop of QBs in the NFL. Looking at the list I can't say 100% they are 32nd but they aren't far. If not 32nd, I'd say 31st, 30th, maybe even 29th. Wooooo!! that's progress. Ugh! So big deal, if they're not 32nd they're still one of the 3-5 worst at best. Cleveland I think is the worst because I think Josh McCown is worse than either of the Bills QBs although McCown was almost here. Should the Bills lose points however since McCown bailed on them and went to Cleveland instead?

Obviously I'd say the Browns are 32nd with McCown starting and the train wreck known as Johnny Manziel on the roster. Heck even our former beloved QB Thad Lewis is there in the mix. The same Lewis who went 2-3 in a backup role behind Manuel two years ago and the same guy who "regressed" badly and was released during the preseason last year.

I think Houston could be worse than the Bills as well as currently Brian Hoyer is their starter with Ryan Mallett as their backup maybe competing for the starting job. Doesn't matter if you have two quarterbacks you have none. Mallett did not really impress me and Hoyer was so awful down the stretch for Cleveland last year it made Kyle Orton look like Tom Brady.

The Jets also might be worse as well as Geno Smith is the starter as determined by Chan Gailey already without a competition with fellow backup Ryan Fitzpatrick. Smith is terrible as he's horribly inaccurate and is a turnover machine who was benched several times last year in favor of an aging and ineffective Michael Vick. Fitzpatrick had some really good games last year in Houston and even had some with Gailey here in Buffalo, but he too can be inaccurate and threw too many picks and did not pull out a game in the closing seconds when it mattered the most.

Washington (who was ranked just ahead of the Bills at 31) with RGIII and Kirk Cousins are a joke. RGIII is a joke with his injuries, inaccuracy, and inability to see downfield and poor pocket presence. RGIII has really fallen since his Rookie of the Year season in 2012 and I'd rather not have Washington's QB situation more than the Bills. .

I don't put two other teams in the bottom five: Tampa Bay and Tennessee ahead of the Bills even though they have rookie QBs Jameis Winston and Marcus Mariota starting. The fans have to be excited with the top-two picks in the draft and possibility of having their franchise guy instead of three guys who give their fanbase not a lot to look forward too. If the Bills aren't 32nd, they're no better than 28th in my opinion and that's not good enough. If they were 20th I'd like their chances just to make the playoffs. If they were 15th I'd think maybe home playoff game and maybe a playoff win.

Problem is they're the worst or at best, bottom 5. In this day of age, you don't win the Super Bowl without a great QB, not a great defense (alone that is I still believe in having a good defense).  You can win without a great QB and make the playoffs but you need a great team around him. This is where you need to build a great defense and spend a lot of money in free agency on both sides of the ball to make the team as best as possible. With that though means you need average QB play to win, heck, even slightly below average with the talent on this team. But when you're bottom five or last in the league, the best you can do is 8-8, or 9-7 with the obligatory win in a meaningless game even with all this talent.

One last thing, these three QBs all have issues one way or another with accuracy. One can throw it farther than the other but struggles in another segment where that other QB thrives on. With that said, if accuracy is a problem which it is, then I want the guy with the best athleticism and ability to move the ball and make plays with his legs. That eliminates Cassel for me from the discussion. If he ends up being the starter, I'll be upset as it's just another journeyman guy like Fitzpatrick, Orton, and Kevin Kolb. However, we'll all be saying something along the lines of "he's the veteran and he's had some success and he might be the best option with this talent manage the game."

I don't think however the coaches are necessarily enamored with that or him, or else they'd endorse him long ago. So that means E.J. and Taylor are in the discussion and one of those two are the favorites. We know what we got in Cassel, we don't quite know with E.J. although 14 games is a pretty decent sample size. Taylor is the one true unknown despite being in the league 4 seasons with Baltimore and has 4 seasons worth or practices, training camps, and preseasons. In reality, E.J. is the one I want to see most because it means he's been the best and hopefully it means he's our guy. If not, then it's Taylor no question.

I want running to be a part of this offense if accuracy is a problem, which it is. If you can't them throwing accurately, beat them by running and not just the running backs. I mean run with the QBs and run actual design plays specifically for the QB. Unfortunately, if you do get into a slugfest by passing the ball, this team will fail and it will cost them the playoffs.

Friday, March 30, 2012

2012 NFL Free Agency and Trade Round Up

What an amazing free agency and trade period this year for the NFL. There were so many big names that have moved this off season so far, more than I could ever remember. This totally changed the landscape of how and who teams are going to do in the draft. The biggest name was without a doubt future Hall of Fame QB Peyton Manning.

Manning was let go by the Colts after 14 seasons when he missed the entire season following setbacks from neck surgery and the Colts finished 2-14. The Colts will probably draft Andrew Luck 1st overall in this year's draft and will rebuild. Once Manning was on the market, he was probably the biggest free agent in NFL history. There were questions and concerns as he was 36 and coming off several neck procedures over the last few years. Either teams knew he was medically cleared or just wanted to take a chance at one of the greatest quarterbacks in league history, but teams were coming out of the wood works to make a play at him. The closest teams were the Jets, Miami, Arizona, Washington, Seattle, Tennessee, San Francisco, and Denver. Manning ultimately chose to sign a 5-year deal with the Denver Broncos over a Super Bowl bound San Francisco and Tennessee, where Manning played college ball and was reportedly offered a "lifetime contract" by Titans' owner Bud Adams.

San Francisco appeared to have been the best choice because they were an overtime loss away from going to the Super Bowl with perhaps the best defense in the league, a weak division, and a red-hot first year head coach in Jim Harbaugh. It would appear however that Manning and Harbaugh would clash as Harbaugh seems to be a control freak and Manning I'm sure wants to run the offense like he has in Indy. Even though the NFC West is weak, the NFC as a whole is very strong as there quarterbacks such as Aaron Rodgers, Drew Brees, Matthew Stafford, Tony Romo, Michael Vick, Matt Ryan, Cam Newton, Jay Cutler, and even Peyton's younger brother Eli. I'm sure Peyton did not want to play his brother unless its every four years in the AFC and/or Super Bowl. So that left Denver, who won the weak AFC West with an 8-8 record and a QB who seemingly can't throw. Denver has a very good coach in John Fox, a great offensive line, a very good young defense, and a very underrated set of wide receivers along with a good running game. I think Fox would let Manning run the offense while he focuses on the defense. With Manning, the Broncos should without a doubt win the division as there is a talented but underachieving San Diego Chargers team with Norv Turner back, a troubled Oakland team, and a mediocre Kansas City Chiefs team. The road to the Super Bowl is a lot easier in the AFC as he would only have to go through the Patriots, the Baltimore Ravens who don't have an elite QB, and an aging Pittsburgh Steelers team. The question is, will there ever be a free agent as big as Peyton Manning ever again? Can you possibly imagine Tom Brady or younger guys like Aaron Rodgers or even Eli Manning ever available in free agency? Unless the Saints don't resolve their contract issues with Drew Brees, he would not be available.

Manning's signing made Tim Tebow expendable as he was traded to the New York Jets shortly after Manning signed. The Broncos traded their QB who led them to the postseason last year and even beat the Steelers in the first round of the playoffs. But Tebow had one of the worst QB Ratings in the league and completed less than 50% of his passes. Tebow and his hype goes to the Big Apple and has to contend with vicious Jet fans, a big mouth head coach in Rex Ryan, and starting QB Mark Sanchez. Tebow chose the Jets over Jacksonville, which is closer to home and would be a huge draw for a struggling franchise, because he knows he can start down the road. Despite giving Sanchez a $20 million signing bonus, Sanchez is on the lookout and has never got the love by the fans and even the team despite taking them to the AFC Championship Game in his first two years. Wait till he throws an interception and the fans will be calling for Tebow. What a mess and I love it.

This next signing hits very close to home and is the one I'm most excited about. Perhaps the best free agent not named Peyton Manning, Houston Texans' defensive end Mario Williams, shocked the league by signing with the Buffalo Bills for nearly $100 million and $50 million guaranteed, which is the most by a defensive player in league history. Williams was the #1 overall pick in the 2006 NFL Draft and had a very stellar six-year career so far in the NFL with 53 career sacks. Williams' signing was not only big because it fills a tremendous void for the Bills as they needed a pass rushing defensive end, but it also turns one of the worst franchises in the league's perception around the league around as it now appears that players want to play for Buffalo. Not only did he sign with Buffalo, he chose them first, spent several days there and never left to even talk to another team as he and the Bills wanted each other. This is such a huge impactful signing for the Bills faithful and still has me buzzing. This is the biggest signing for the Bills since they signed Jim Kelly from the USFL, even though he had his draft rights. But Kelly coming to town was a big deal and it led the Bills to their greatest time in franchise history. The biggest free agent name that went to a small city that I can think of was when Reggie White signed with Green Bay back in 1993 when no one wanted to go there and look, they are one of the league's best teams over the last two decades. I'm hoping Williams' impact on the Bills is just the same. Also, the Bills added Mark Anderson to the line and his 10 sacks from New England a year ago to make the Bills from one of the worst defensive lines in the league to one of the best.

There were a good amount of wide receivers available as Vincent Jackson left San Diego to go to Tampa Bay and Jackson's spot in San Diego was taken by Robert Meacham, who left New Orleans. Perhaps the biggest wide receiver signing was the 49ers signing Randy Moss, who was out of the league last year. They also added Mario Manningham. Brandon Lloyd was very vocal about playing for the Patriots and Tom Brady and made good on his promise by signing with them. Lloyd reunites with offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels, who was Lloyd's head coach in Denver when Lloyd led the league in receiving yards two years ago and was his offensive coordinator last year in St. Louis. Lloyd should be close to or at his numbers two years ago playing with Brady, Wes Welker, Rob Gronkowski, and Aaron Hernandez. The Saints re-signed Marques Coltson while the Colts re-signed Reggie Wayne. Pierre Garcon left the Colts to go to Washington. The Steelers signed speedy Mike Wallace to a first round tender on the restricted free agent, which means any team can sign him, but give up a first round pick to the Steelers for him. It appears he will remain in Pittsburgh as no one has given up a first round pick yet. Laurent Robinson and his 11 touchdown catches from a year ago move from Dallas to Jacksonville. Dwayne Bowe was another big time receiver to hit the market until he was franchised by Kansas City while the Bills locked up Stevie Johnson before he was set to hit the open market and were forced to use the franchise tag. Even though he was not going to hit the open market this season, the Lions made sure Calvin Johnson did not in the future by giving him a record $60 million guaranteed signing bonus.

Other notable free agent signings: corner back Brandon Carr from Kansas City to Dallas, guard Carl Nicks from New Orleans to Tampa Bay, corner back Cortland Finnegan from Tennessee to St. Louis to be reunited with his former head coach Jeff Fisher, offensive tackle Eric Winston from Houston to Kansas City, and the Saints added a couple of defensive players in lieu of possible suspensions in the wake of "bounty gate" in linebacker Curtis Lofton and defensive tackle Broderick Bunkley.

There were two more quarterback moves that did not involve Peyton Manning and Tim Tebow. Alex Smith, despite looking around after the 49erswere trying to lure Manning, went back to San Francisco to sign a 3-year deal. Smith guided the 49ers to a 13-3 record and a trip to the NFC Championship Game. Smith had a bounce back year after being considered a bust after being taken #1 overall by the 49ers in 2005. This past season Smith improved his game with the help of new head coach Jim Harbaugh. Despite going all the way to the NFC Championship Game, Harbaugh and the 49ers felt they needed to upgrade and no offense to Smith, they did so they went after Manning. After Manning turned them down, they went back to Smith, who was in Miami looking at a possible deal there. Smith's common sense got the better of him, despite getting hurt by the 49ers he chose to go back because it was the best option for him. They gave him more money than they would have so his trip to Miami got him more. They did not want to lose the guy who went 13-3 if they lost out on Manning. Settling in this case isn't so bad. The other major QB signing was Seattle signing Matt Flynn, who was the backup in Green Bay. Flynn, who was a 7th round pick out of LSU in 2008, started only two games in his NFL career, but both starts were very impressive. In 2010, he lost a close game to New England on the road and last year, he defeated a Detroit Lions team that still had something to play for in the last game of the season. In that game, Flynn threw for 480 yards and 6 touchdowns in a 45-41 win. There's no doubt Flynn has some talent, but I question if he's the real deal or is the system he plays in with really good wide receivers? I'm still leaning towards the latter until I get to witness more starts. Seattle needs a QB as Tarvaris Jackson or Charlie Whitehurst are not the answers. I just wonder if it's Flynn? They might have not been able to draft one and could not sign Manning. So they had to go to Plan B. Flynn reminds me of guys such as Kevin Kolb, Derek Anderson, and Rob Johnson who started a few games and impressed people because of  a system and land full-time roles and fail. These guys are backups for a reason and I will never go after a system quarterback. Good luck Seattle, I hope it works.

This was one of the most amazing free agency periods I can ever remember. If this what the off season will be like, and we are far from done my friends, then I can't wait to see what the season and the Super Bowl holds for us!!

Tuesday, March 20, 2012

Super Excited About Super Mario!!

It's been almost a week since Mario Williams became the biggest free agent acquisition in Buffalo sports history and I waited a few days because 1.) I was relaxing with days off and 2.) had to let it sit for a few days. But as you might imagine, I got a few takes on this. Obviously I never ever expected the Bills of all teams to sign the biggest free agent in the year's free agency. I did not even expect them to even get a meeting with him. Then out of the blue, he chose us first. He came here first before any other team and he never left. He was here for a total of three days and each day I was a nervous wreck with the old Buffalo montage "how will they blow this?" This is a team that fails to close on the field and I would not have surprised if they did so off it. But to the credit of the Buffalo Bills' front office, GM Buddy Nix, and many other personnel, they got it done before he could even consider talking to another team. They did what they did to sell him to come here and hearing from Williams, he seems like a guy who likes the small town, country atmosphere and does not need the wild and crazy nightlife and social life that big cities offer such as New York or Miami. So from the bottom of my heart and the hearts of millions of Bills fans, thank you!! Not only did we sign Williams, a special thanks goes to him as he chose us. That was one of the most awesome things I ever seen an athlete do. I sound bias that's because I am in this article. I try not to let emotion get the best of me, but I will definitely be emotional while writing this and who could blame me?

This is a huge time in Buffalo sports and hopefully it turns the future around for this downtrodden franchise. This franchise has been so irrelevant for well over a decade and especially since they got rid of Tom Donahoe, who signed big name players, none the caliber of Williams though, the Bills would routinely fail and miss the playoffs. Since then, the Bills have made do with a bunch of castoffs and no names and even though some have been good, either the Bills failed to keep them or they were just mired in obscurity. But there has been such a lack of talent with really no quarterback, offensive line, or defense. Williams is not only a house hold name, the biggest free agent on the market (or second to Peyton Manning if you think), but he fills a huge void on this team that can't get to the quarterback or sack and he should make everyone around him better. I feel the Bills defense goes from one of the worst in the league to somewhere mid-pack just with the addition of Williams. A few breaks and if they can stay healthy, then the Bills could be hopefully in the top-10 in defense. Hopefully, more players in the NFL will come to Buffalo now that they landed Williams.

The impact alone on Buffalo will be huge. Just last Thursday when Mario signed with the Bills, the Bills sold 1,000 season tickets, not game tickets but season tickets. For a team that struggles to sell out games in December with the games being blacked out in the cold and snow and the team eliminated in playoff contention, this is a big sign. People are buying into the Bills mainly because of Mario Williams and when is the last time people bought into one single Buffalo Bill? The only bigger acquisition the Bills made was when they announced they signed Jim Kelly back in 1986, but they owned his rights. Of course we know how that worked out!! But this from the standpoint of taking an NFL free agent free to sign with any team he wants, we don't own his rights, we didn't trade for him. He chose to sign with us!! For a team that hasn't made the playoffs since 1999, longest in the NFL, this is well bigger than words can describe. I've heard some people use the analogy that this is like when hall of famer Reggie White signed with the Green Bay Packers back in 1993 when he was in the prime of his career. Green Bay at that time was a joke and they have not had any success since the days of Vince Lombardi back in the '60s and they were an afterthought in the NFL. Even though they had Mike Holmgren as head coach and a young but unproven Brett Favre at QB, the impact White had alone changed the Packers and they have been one of the most successful NFL franchises in the last 20 years. Boy I hope that opens up the flood gates for us. We need it. He will put the butts in the seats. I remember back in the early-mid '90s when the Bills spent money in free agency and were a huge player. They've signed guys like Ted Washington, Bryce Paup (who was decent before coming here and really exploded here) and Chris Speilman plus all the money they spent keeping the team together. I remember the days of Tom Donahoe when he got guys like Drew Bledsoe, London Fletcher, Takeo Spikes, Sam Adams, and Lawyer Milloy. Too bad that didn't work out well.

Williams should be expected to make a huge impact on this defense which finished 30th in points allowed and 26th in yards allowed last year as well as 29th in sacks with 29. Despite not having any pass rush, the Bills ranked 8th in interceptions and total takeaways. Imagine what they could do with Williams going after the passer? Who will double team Williams? If you do, you free up Kyle Williams, Marcell Dareus, Chris Kelsey, and hopefully a healthy Shawne Merriman to go after the QB. The Bills might have one of the best D-lines in the league. Williams alone can bring half the sack total from the Bills last season. What also helps is the promotion of Dave Wannstedt to defensive coordinator after the firing of George Edwards, who was way over his head and should have never been in that position. Wannstedt is a great defensive coordinator and really helped sell Williams on the idea of playing for Buffalo and playing on this defense. My hats off to Mr. Wannstedt. The Bills need a corner back and hopefully address the issue in the draft, but Williams going after the QB means the QB will either be hurried into making a throw or he'll be on the ground and that helps the secondary. Last year, opposing QBs had all the time in the world to throw and the secondary could cover for only so long. Even the very best cornerbacks can defend a receiver for so long while looking at the QB at the same time before the receiver separates and the QB hits him for a big gain. I am sick of watching the last few years my defense get shredded by the opposing QB all day long as he had infinite amounts of time to throw and the average to below-average guys looking like Tom Brady. I am also sick of watching opposing running backs get average at least a buck fifty and looking like Walter Payton and Jim Brown.

With an improved defense and a pretty good offense, there's no way this team can't win at least 9-10 games and at least be in contention for the playoffs as the AFC is pretty weak in my opinion. Injuries played a huge part last year no question, but the talent was thin as is so that means the depth was awful. If they can stay healthy, then who knows I like our chances. If this team can start out 5-2 and beat the Patriots and Tom Brady and Michael Vick and the Eagles with that horrific defense and most of the injuries occurred after, then who knows how many games this team can win if healthy and with Williams making an impact? Plus the AFC East is weak outside of New England. If we can finish second, then it gives us a great chance at a wild card if we win 10 games. Its very possible because Miami failed at landing Peyton Manning and the best they could do is David Garrard. The Jets also failed in the Manning sweepstakes and even had to give Mark Sanchez a contract extension. They are a huge mess. Cincinnati won 9 games with a rookie QB and made the playoffs in a division with Pittsburgh and Baltimore and lost all 4 times to them. So why can't we make the playoffs this year? I am a huge passing man but I want to see a huge commitment to running the football this year with a healthy Fred Jackson and CJ Spiller and get the ball out of Fitz's hands as a much as possible. Last year when Jackson went down, Spiller ran very well but for some reason, Chan Gailey would stop running him in the 2nd half even if they were down 10 points or less and have Fitz throw more, which resulted in predictable play calling and an increase in turnovers. With a much better defense and hopefully not being behind more will result in running the ball more.

Mario Williams was the 1st overall pick of the 2006 NFL Draft with the Houston Texas, who passed on Houston native Vince Young and Heisman Trophy winner Reggie Bush to take Williams. Williams was a beast at NC State and tore up the ACC as a junior. At 6'7 290 lbs., he is considered an athletic freak very much so as another North Carolina defensive end in Julius Peppers, who is also great in his own right. Then GM of the Texans, Charlie Casserly, decided that Williams was a huge position of need and also was the best player in the draft. He was criticized for it by local fans but was proven to be smart which leads me to say "there's people who get paid to watch games and there's those who pay to watch the games." Williams only had 4.5 sacks his rookie year but followed that up with 14, 12, 9, 8.5 and 5 in each of the next five seasons and did so without another pass rusher opposite of him. The five sack season last year came in only five games when he was injured with a torn pectoral muscle and missed 11 games. In other words, he had a sack a game last year. That injury is not devastating that it will not derail his career. He should be fine. When had a player the caliber of Mario Williams, at his age (only 27), who played six seasons and was the #1 overall pick in the draft was available in free agency? Maybe Peppers a couple of years ago? He wasn't as young as Williams is. The question is why was Williams available as a free agent and not re-signed by the Texans as teams would not let a talent like this in his prime go? The answer, the Texans were in such financial hell that they could not afford knowing he would be making $100 million for about 6-7 years and get $50 million guaranteed, plus they just re-signed Arian Foster. Also, the Texans were also 2nd in total defense mostly without Williams, so it was a lot easier to part ways with him.

I'm so excited for the up coming Bills season. Even though $100 million with $50 million guaranteed is a lot for one man, he means so much to the fans, the team, the owner, and the community that it's worth every penny. He's in the prime of his career not past his prime and should have at least five amazing seasons left. The $50 million guaranteed is the most ever by a defensive player and is tied with Sam Bradford for 2nd most in NFL history behind only Calvin Johnson's $60 million guaranteed he just signed last week. Think about it, before the rookie wage scale set last year, the top pick in the draft got $50 million guaranteed for not playing a single down in the NFL. Williams has played in the NFL for six seasons and will probably play at least six-seven more and has shown he's very successful. Even though I like offense way more than I like defense (check out my post: http://buffalosportsbeat.blogspot.com/2012/03/is-defense-overrated.html) and I'm pro offense and pro quarterback, you still need to have somewhat of a defense that can get to the passer and force turnovers and not allow a ton of points. I put pass rusher as the second most important position in football only behind quarterback.

I got to admit, if they didn't sign him, I would be devastated and would not care a minute about the season. I would be in the state of apathy I've been with this team for the last five years or so. There would be no hope and we would continue to be the laughing stock of the NFL with no end in sight. I would have been even more upset had they not re-signed Steve Johnson, which thankfully they did. I would have wanted them to bottom out and get the top pick in the draft and take Matt Barkley in 2013. Now I don't have to think about it as there is real hope. I don't have to obsess about QB, yet. I'll worry about that later. Right now I'm thinking playoffs or bust. It seems as if the front office has the confidence of the owner to make football decisions. It seems Buddy Nix has Ralph Wilson's blessings to make decisions and they seem very smart.

I want to thank in addition to the Bills front office, coaches, and players for getting this deal done is the Bills alumni, mostly Jim Kelly, for helping to sell Buffalo to Mario Williams. We could never do this without the love and support of you guys. Let's go Buffalo!!!