Saturday, July 4, 2015

The Bills Might Not Have the Worst QB Situation as MMQB Suggests but I think It's Very Close to the Worst; It Could Cost the Bills the Playoffs

I know the Buffalo Bills don't have the best QB situation in the NFL (far from it) but according to this MMQB article writen by Andy Benoit (http://mmqb.si.com/2015/07/03/nfl-quarterback-rankings/3/) the Bills rank dead last in the NFL in terms of starting QB. ESPN did not give the Bills a high ranking either based on their outlook on the next three seasons (http://insider.espn.go.com/nfl/insider/story/_/id/13129838/ranking-nfl-teams-1-32-based-their-outlook-next-three-seasons-nfl). They ranked 26th for those who don't have ESPN insider mainly because their QB situation.

They ranked well in all the rest of the categories except QB. QB is like the exam and/or mid-term or even project/report that counts for the majority of your overall grade in school. You can do very well on the other tests and homework assignments, but bomb on the final exam or whatever counts for the majority of your final grade and watch your grade drop. This is that exact case. Although in the ESPN article it's not entirely fair to judge because we have no idea who or what the QB situation will be. Maybe a Philip Rivers or Drew Brees or someone you never think possible could be available or maybe they draft one (I assume unless one of these QBs succeeds they will be drafting one next year no doubt about it). So we can't assume next year or the year after they'll be having the same QBs as this year. In fact i'll assume they won't, I'll bet on it.

Back to Benoit's article he ranked the teams by starting QB. He assumes Matt Cassel is 32nd/dead last. There's the consensus if they put either E.J. Manuel or Tyrod Taylor in instead of Cassel that they still are the worst in terms of QB or it's a fancier way of saying they have the worst crop of QBs in the NFL. Looking at the list I can't say 100% they are 32nd but they aren't far. If not 32nd, I'd say 31st, 30th, maybe even 29th. Wooooo!! that's progress. Ugh! So big deal, if they're not 32nd they're still one of the 3-5 worst at best. Cleveland I think is the worst because I think Josh McCown is worse than either of the Bills QBs although McCown was almost here. Should the Bills lose points however since McCown bailed on them and went to Cleveland instead?

Obviously I'd say the Browns are 32nd with McCown starting and the train wreck known as Johnny Manziel on the roster. Heck even our former beloved QB Thad Lewis is there in the mix. The same Lewis who went 2-3 in a backup role behind Manuel two years ago and the same guy who "regressed" badly and was released during the preseason last year.

I think Houston could be worse than the Bills as well as currently Brian Hoyer is their starter with Ryan Mallett as their backup maybe competing for the starting job. Doesn't matter if you have two quarterbacks you have none. Mallett did not really impress me and Hoyer was so awful down the stretch for Cleveland last year it made Kyle Orton look like Tom Brady.

The Jets also might be worse as well as Geno Smith is the starter as determined by Chan Gailey already without a competition with fellow backup Ryan Fitzpatrick. Smith is terrible as he's horribly inaccurate and is a turnover machine who was benched several times last year in favor of an aging and ineffective Michael Vick. Fitzpatrick had some really good games last year in Houston and even had some with Gailey here in Buffalo, but he too can be inaccurate and threw too many picks and did not pull out a game in the closing seconds when it mattered the most.

Washington (who was ranked just ahead of the Bills at 31) with RGIII and Kirk Cousins are a joke. RGIII is a joke with his injuries, inaccuracy, and inability to see downfield and poor pocket presence. RGIII has really fallen since his Rookie of the Year season in 2012 and I'd rather not have Washington's QB situation more than the Bills. .

I don't put two other teams in the bottom five: Tampa Bay and Tennessee ahead of the Bills even though they have rookie QBs Jameis Winston and Marcus Mariota starting. The fans have to be excited with the top-two picks in the draft and possibility of having their franchise guy instead of three guys who give their fanbase not a lot to look forward too. If the Bills aren't 32nd, they're no better than 28th in my opinion and that's not good enough. If they were 20th I'd like their chances just to make the playoffs. If they were 15th I'd think maybe home playoff game and maybe a playoff win.

Problem is they're the worst or at best, bottom 5. In this day of age, you don't win the Super Bowl without a great QB, not a great defense (alone that is I still believe in having a good defense).  You can win without a great QB and make the playoffs but you need a great team around him. This is where you need to build a great defense and spend a lot of money in free agency on both sides of the ball to make the team as best as possible. With that though means you need average QB play to win, heck, even slightly below average with the talent on this team. But when you're bottom five or last in the league, the best you can do is 8-8, or 9-7 with the obligatory win in a meaningless game even with all this talent.

One last thing, these three QBs all have issues one way or another with accuracy. One can throw it farther than the other but struggles in another segment where that other QB thrives on. With that said, if accuracy is a problem which it is, then I want the guy with the best athleticism and ability to move the ball and make plays with his legs. That eliminates Cassel for me from the discussion. If he ends up being the starter, I'll be upset as it's just another journeyman guy like Fitzpatrick, Orton, and Kevin Kolb. However, we'll all be saying something along the lines of "he's the veteran and he's had some success and he might be the best option with this talent manage the game."

I don't think however the coaches are necessarily enamored with that or him, or else they'd endorse him long ago. So that means E.J. and Taylor are in the discussion and one of those two are the favorites. We know what we got in Cassel, we don't quite know with E.J. although 14 games is a pretty decent sample size. Taylor is the one true unknown despite being in the league 4 seasons with Baltimore and has 4 seasons worth or practices, training camps, and preseasons. In reality, E.J. is the one I want to see most because it means he's been the best and hopefully it means he's our guy. If not, then it's Taylor no question.

I want running to be a part of this offense if accuracy is a problem, which it is. If you can't them throwing accurately, beat them by running and not just the running backs. I mean run with the QBs and run actual design plays specifically for the QB. Unfortunately, if you do get into a slugfest by passing the ball, this team will fail and it will cost them the playoffs.

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