Tuesday, June 30, 2015

Cody Hodgson Put on Waivers; to be Bought Out!! Good Riddance to Bad Rubbish

Cody Hodgson has been waived and will be bought out by the Buffalo Sabres, ending what has been a very disappointing tenure since he came over here in a trade at the 2012 Trade Deadline. I'm glad we are getting rid of him as there is no place for him and his large salary. That large salary was in part of Darcy Regier always overvaluing players and giving him a six-year contract, rather than giving him a three or maybe even four-year deal at most.

As much of a disappointment he was here in Buffalo and Vancouver as well I will put myself on record saying I was for the trade when in it first happened. In the 2011-12 season, the Sabres had lousy center depth, one of the worst if not the worst. Ville Leino was a major bust of a signing as he was brought in to be a center despite never playing it in the NHL. As it turns out, he wasn't that good of a winger either here. More on Leino later don't miss that.

Luke Adam started that season as the "number one center" as he centered a line between Thomas Vanek and Jason Pominville. Adam produced early on, but struggled and eventually was demoted until he was sent down to Rochester. Derek Roy came back from a serious quad injury he suffered the year before and struggled to come back from the injury, posting career-low numbers in any season in Buffalo for him. Tim Connolly left the team in free agency and things were so bad we could have used him. Heck, Paul Szczechura centered Vanek and Pominville for a while.

Injuries and the lack of a center which led to a lack of scoring and poor defense had the Sabres at the bottom of the league standings by the All-Star break. We were looking at a top-3 pick for hopefully that number one center. Mikhail Grigorenko's name was floating around there at the time as he was projected to be a top pick in that year's draft before he fell to the Sabres at number 12. The Sabres, however, got healthy and started to win. Tyler Ennis was hurt but came back and Lindy Ruff decided to try him at center when he should have done that earlier with their lack of depth at center.

Ennis played very well back from injury at center as his playmaking ability more fit the center position up the middle instead of on the wing. Ennis was very good the last two months of the season and the line of him, Drew Stafford, and Marcus Foligno were the best line on the team and one of the hottest in the NHL. They each averaged more than a point a game down the stretch and had incredibly high shooting percentages. We all knew they would start to come back down a bit from those ridiculous numbers but still thought that maybe the chemistry of them three together would give the Sabres a formidable line for years to come.

Then at the trade deadline, Regier first shipped out Paul Gaustad to Nashville for surprising a first round pick (which turned out to be Zemgus Girgensons). Then he brought Hodgson in from Vancouver for another disappointing prospect Zack Kassian, who failed to live up to the hype of the "legend of Zack Kassian." Hodgson had a falling out in Vancouver dating back to before the 2009-10 season when he had a back injury he suffered working out. He was initially cleared by team doctors and he failed to make the team and was sent back to juniors in the preseason.

Hodgson got a third opinion and had to have surgery, which led to a rift between himself and then-head coach Alain Vigneault, who claimed Hodgson had a procedure because he didn't make the team and blamed it on that. Their GM said there was no rift between themselves and Hodgson. He finally played for Vancouver in 2010-11 and appeared in 12 playoff games, registering a single point, as the Canucks lost to the Boston Bruins in the Stanley Cup Finals.

Hodgson's first full season was 2011-12, where he had 16 points and 33 points in 63 games before being traded to the Sabres at the trade deadline. Hodgson didn't get a lot of playing time as he was the third line center behind Henrik Sedin and Ryan Kesler, but he put up a decent amount of points, which excited me. There was the potential for him to maybe become the number one center. Things did not start off well as he did not register a single point in 10 games and was a -5.

Things eventually changed as he centered a line between Thomas Vanek and Jason Pominville and the final 10 games Hodgson had 3 goals and 8 points. Vanek and Pominville both were a point a game in the final 10 games as the offense looked a lot better. Hodgson was second to Vanek in 2012-13 with 15 goals and 34 points in the 48-game lockout shortened season.

After signing a ridiculous six-year deal before the 2013-14 season which he had yet totally prove himself, Hodgson led the team with 20 goals and 44 points in 72 games on the worst team in hockey that year. Hodgson was an effective scorer, but his defense was a huge problem and he was a huge liability in his own end. He was terrible at back-checking and turned the puck over a lot in his own end which led to a bunch of goals being scored while he was on the ice. At least he could score even if he's giving up goals, which isn't luck or by chance or by accident.

The "he could score" defense (no pun intended) came to a crashing end this past season as he had an awful 6 goals and 13 points in 78 games with an awful 4.7 shooting % and fallen out of favor with Ted Nolan. He went from a top-two center to a top-six winger to out of the top-six altogether. A lot has to do with his awful defensive game while his offense completely disappeared. He wasn't even getting power play time on the worst power play and offense in the NHL.

Another reason for the demotion was his awful possession game. He was a lousy 5-on-5 player as evidenced by his Corsi rankings listed below.

264th 2011-12 (49.4 career-high)
349th 2012-13 (46.5)
468th 2013-14 (42.5)
476th 2014-15 (38.7)

He was never a positive Corsi player in any of his NHL seasons and never ranked in the top-250 and just barely in the top-500 the past two seasons. His -65 as a Sabre further cemented his defensive liabilities and poor even strength play. He was a healthy scratch a few times this season for his awful play and the potential for him being a buyout grew further as the season wore on.

We all know 13 points in 78 games is awful, but just how awful was it? Ville Leino had zero goals in 58 games in 2013-14 which was awful and we make fun of that and rightfully so. But Leino had 15 assists and had two more points than Hodgson had IN 20 FEWER GAMES!!! That's not a misprint, Hodgson played 20 more games than Leino did last season and had two fewer points to a guy who didn't score a single goal in 3/4 of a season.

Hodgson looks like a complete joke when we look at how he scored fewer points than Ville Leino did the previous season. Leino was an awful signing and only had 10 goals in three seasons for the Sabres. Leino, however, was a significantly better possession player as his worst season here in Corsi was about as good as Hodgson's best here. Leino could definitely carry the puck in, but would not shoot the puck ever as evidenced by his low goal scoring totals and low shooting %.

Leino and Hodgson were both terrible additions by Regier and it makes me so happy they got Jack Eichel. These failures of Regier reaching for mediocre at best players and hoping they can turn into stars, which never happens, made me want the Sabres to finish 30th this past season for either Eichel and McDavid to find that franchise, elite number one center who will be the best player for years to come.

With the drafting of Eichel and the trade for Ryan O'Reilly among other additions, Hodgson had no role on this team. He was a winger at best on the third line even though they upgraded at coach in Dan Bylsma, who could help him with his possession game. But with a $4+ million cap hit, it didn't make much sense. One thing for Hodgson could have been give him more power play time, but that role was diminished with Eichel, O'Reilly, and Evander Kane among others getting power play time, which meant there was no room or place for Hodgson on this team.

One thing that bothered me about Hodgson was his lack of self awareness and his ability to be uncoachable. Throughout this awful season, Hodgson always thought he was very good and never listened to coaches always thinking he knew better than they did. I usually take what players say with a grain of salt because most of them are delusional. But Hodgson's comments about how good he is and how good his game is made even the most delusional athlete say "shut the bleep up." What a loser he was.

I definitely did not respect Hodgson's game and especially his commentary about himself. Even worse was I did not respect Darcy Regier to give him a six-year contract, putting us and himself in this giant mess. Typical Regier handed out big contracts to unproven players all the time, which always brought unbelievably high expectations which they could never live up. He ruined this team so much with his decision making. I have zero or less than zero respect for the job Regier did.

Thank God Tim Murray is not that. Regier would not give up on him waiting to see if he can live up to his potential, which they never would. Murray knows to make moves to better the team and if the player does do better elsewhere, great. Who cares? Usually those players aren't good and don't do better elsewhere. Even if they do, i don't care and neither does Murray. Good luck Cody I won't miss you or your awful two-way game.

Former Sabre Phil Housley along with Nicklas Lidstrom, Sergei Federov and Chris Pronger Headline 2015 Hockey Hall of Fame Class; Lindros, Andreychuk, and Roenick Not in

Former Buffalo Sabres defenseman Phil Housley was announced that he will inducted into the Hockey Hall of Fame class of 2015. Headlining that class are fellow defensemen Nicklas Lidstrom and Chris Pronger along with center Sergei Federov. Four-time U.S. Olympian Angela Ruggeiro became the fourth woman to be elected into the hall and is joined by Carolina Hurricanes owner Peter Karmanos Jr. and executive Bill Hay.

Housley finally got into the Hockey Hall of Fame 12 years after he retired from the NHL after a stellar 21-year career. Housley was an offensive defenseman if there ever was one. His 1,232 points are the most ever by a U.S.-born defenseman and are the second most points by a U.S. born player behind only Mike Modano. He also played the third most games (1,495) by an American-born player behind only Modano and Chris Chelios. Housley also played the most games by a player who never won the Stanley Cup as he was in the Cup finals with the Washington Captials, where they were swept by the Detroit Red Wings and fellow Hall of Fame inductees Lidstrom and Federov.

Housley was drafted by the Buffalo Sabres with the 6th overall pick in the 1982 NHL Draft. He played right away as an 18-year-old right out of high school and scored 19 goals and 66 points and was the runner-up for the Calder Trophy in 1983 as the league's rookie of the year. His second year, Housley had 31 goals and 77 points in 75 games. He had a stellar eight-year career in Buffalo with 178 goals, 380 assists, and 558 points in 608 games.

He was traded in 1990 along with a first round pick (which turned out to be fellow American great Keith Tkachuk) to the Winnipeg Jets for Dale Hawerchuk and their first round pick which would be Brad May. Hawerchuk had a great career in Buffalo. Housley was spectacular in three seasons in Winnipeg scoring 64 goals, 195 assists, and 259 points in 232 games. His last season in Winnipeg (1992-93) was his best ever with 79 assists and 97 points. He also helped rookie Teemu Selanne score 76 goals that season as well.

Housley would be traded to St. Louis and bounce around with Calgary, New Jersey, Washington, Chicago, and ending his career with one game in Toronto. While he was still productive, he failed to live up to his high-scoring ways in Buffalo and Winnipeg. Housley played for the United States in 10 international events as well. He was inducted into the United States Hockey Hall of Fame in 2004 and the Buffalo Sabres Hall of Fame in 2007. Housley coached Team USA to the gold medal in the 2013 World Junior championships and is currently an assistant head coach for the Nashville Predators.

Nicklas Lidstrom and Sergei Federov were successful teammates when they were drafted together in 1989 and were teammates on the Red Wings from 1991-2003. Both led Detroit to three Stanley Cups in 1996-97, 1997-98, and 2001-02 and three President's Trophies as the Red Wings were the best team in the NHL in the 1990s and 2000s. Federov left Detroit in 2003 to play for Anaheim and then played for the Columbus Blue Jackets and Washington Capitals before heading to the KHL in 2009. Lidstrom stayed in Detroit until he retired in 2012, where he led the Wings to another Cup in 2008 and three more President's Trophies and was the captain for his last six seasons with the team following the retirement of long-time captain Steve Yzerman.

Federov quietly defected to Detroit from Russia in 1990. He was considered one of the best players in the world in the 1990s and early 2000s and considered to be one of the best playoff performers in NHL history. His best individual season came in 1993-94 when he scored 56 goals and 120 points in 82 games to win both the Hart Trophy (league MVP) and the first of his two Selke Trophies (best defensive forward). He won a second Selke in 1996 and was one of the best two-way centers in the league during his prime, breaking a stereotype that Russian and European players are soft and won't play defense. He'd even play as a defenseman at times for Scotty Bowman in Detroit.

Federov played in three Olympics for Team Russia as well. He scored 483 goals and 1,179 points in his 1,248 game career. He's the all-time leading scorer in both goals and points for a Russian player in NHL history. He also had 176 in 183 career playoff games. In 2009, he became the oldest player to score a game-winning Game 7 goal when he led Washington to a first round series victory over the New York Rangers. He currently is the general manager for CSKA Moscow in the KHL.

Lidstrom is considered to be one of the greatest defensemen ever to play in the NHL. He scored 1,142 points in 1,564 games during his 20-year career, all with the Wings. In addition to winning the Cup four times, Lidstrom won seven Norris Trophies as the league's best defenseman, joining Doug Harvey and Bobby Orr (who won eight) to win as many as seven. Lidstrom was a finalist for the Norris Trophy 12 of his last 14 seasons and won it seven of his last ten seasons. He also won the Conn Smythe Trophy as Stanley Cup MVP in 2002, becoming the first European player to win playoff MVP and became the first European captain to win a Stanley Cup in 2008.

Lidstrom appeared in 263 Stanley Cup Playoff games, second most all-time only to former teammate Chris Chelios' 266. Lidstrom shares a record with Larry Robinson for playing in 20 consecutive playoff appearances. Lidstrom was incredibly durable as he was usually among the leaders in ice time per game and never missed more than 12 games in a single season (which occurred in his final season). Lidstrom led Team Sweden to the gold medal in 2006 Olympics when he scored the game-winning goal in the gold medal game, giving him a Stanley Cup, a gold medal in the World Championships, and a gold medal in the Olympics.

Chris Pronger saw his Hall of Fame career come to an abrupt end in 2011 when he suffered post-concussion syndrome and an eye injury due to three separate incidents shortly after being named captain of the Philadelphia Flyers. Pronger currently works for the NHL in their department of player safety and is in the hall despite being under contract with the Arizona Coyotes. He was traded to the Coyotes last week by the Philadelphia Flyers, who were unloading his contract. The Coyotes took on his salary to help them get to the cap floor.

Pronger was drafted second overall in the 1993 NHL Draft by the Hartford Whalers, before playing for the St. Louis Blues, Edmonton Oilers, Anahiem Ducks, and Flyers from 1993-2011. He was also the captain of both the Blues and Ducks in addition to being captain of the Flyers. Pronger is one of the most fierce and physically imposing defensemen of his era. He also added some offense to his physical game with 698 points in 1,167 career games.

Pronger won the Cup in 2007 with the Ducks and helped lead the Oilers in 2006 and the Flyers in 2010 to the Cup Finals, where they lost. He has been in the playoffs in every year except his first two in Hartford. His best years where in St. Louis, where he was a five-time All-Star and helped lead them to the President's Trophy in 1999-2000. That same season he also won the Norris Trophy and became the first defenseman to win the Hart Trophy since Bobby Orr in 1972. No defenseman has won it since.

Current Carolina Hurricanes owner Peter Karmanos Jr. made it to the Hockey Hall of Fame. His contributions are that he created the Detroit Compuware youth hockey program in the 1970s, which produced 235 Division I hockey players and 14 NHL first-round picks. He owned several OHL franchises before he purchased the Hartford Whalers in 1994. He moved them to Raleigh, North Carolina a few years later and they became the Carolina Hurricanes (boo!!).

Karmanos interestingly has some involvement with some of the fellow Hall of Famers in this class. He signed Federov to an offer sheet in 1998 worth $38 million after Federov was holding out in a bitter contract dispute with the Red Wings, who decided to match the offer sheet, bringing Federov back to Detroit. His Hurricanes lost in the Stanley Cup Finals in 2002 to both Federov and Lidstrom. He did however beat Pronger's Oilers in 2006 to win the Stanley Cup (which I vomitted in my mouth at that). He did trade Pronger to St. Louis in 1995 when he owned the Whalers.

Bill Hay was the first NCAA graduate to play in the NHL, where he played for the Chicago Blackhawks for eight seasons, winning a Stanley Cup in 1961. Hay was the President and CEO of the Calgary Flames before becoming the Chair of the Hockey Hall of Fame. Angela Ruggeiro won a gold and two silver medals in the Olympics as well as four world championships in her 13-year career. She also became the first woman non-goalie to play in a professional hockey regular season game when she played for the Tulsa Oilers of the Continental Hockey League on January 28, 2005.

Those missing were Eric Lindros, Dave Andreychuk, and Jeremy Roenick as only six can be voted on one ballot each year which I think is ridiculous. There should be 10 if there are 10 guys eligible just like if there are only one or two eligible that's how many should be in. I never agreed with someone is not a first ballot hall of famer but can make it several years later. If your a hall of famer, you're a hall of famer enough said and you should go in whenever you are eligible.

Lindros missed the hall of fame for the fifth year in a row, which is getting ridiculous. How is he not a hall of famer? His 1.138 points per game rank 19th all time. He was the 1995 Hart Trophy winner and is one of a few Hart Trophy winners who are not active to not be in the Hockey Hall of Fame. I know because of injuries (concussions) keeping him out of many games and not winning the Stanley Cup have kept him from being in the Hall of Fame. But the guy made a huge impact and was one of the best players in the 1990s and early 2000s. Watching him play and his presence on the ice makes you think hall of famer. He was also one of the best junior players of all time, which is why many thought he'd be the next Wayne Gretzky. Just because he wasn't Gretzky doesn't mean he's not an elite player.

Our old buddy Andreychuk should be in as he scored the most power play goals in NHL history and his 640 goals were the most of anyone who's not active who is not in the Hall of Fame. He had a stellar 11-year career with the Sabres and was spectacular with the Toronto Maple Leafs. Andreychuk also finally won a Stanley Cup with the Tampa Bay Lightning in 2003-04. Roenick scored 513 goals and is up there with Phil Housley and Mike Modano as one of the best U.S. born players in NHL history.

Saturday, June 27, 2015

I'm Glad the Sabres No Longer Reaching in the Past Like Other Teams; They are a Completely Different Team than Last Season; a Complete 180

One thing I took real notice when I was watching the draft last night were the amount of teams that weren't very good that had former players from that franchise that were running their team as either a GM, President, head coach, or some sort of front office position. Three teams that really took notice to me were the Boston Bruins, Philadelphia Flyers, and Colorado Avalanche.

The Bruins might be the worst position by trading Dougie Hamilton for a mid 1st round pick and parting ways with their number one defenseman. They brought in former players Cam Neely and Don Sweeney recently to be the President and General Manager respectively. So far they've done a horrible job and picked up where the last regimes left off.

In the last decade, the Bruins have traded Joe Thornton, Phil Kessel, Tyler Seguin, and now Hamilton. They also traded Ray Bourque 15 years ago but that was more to help Bourque get a Cup per his request so that doesn't count. Just because they won a Cup and been to another finals doesn't mean they've done things very well lately.

The moves they made remind of moves the Flyers used to make by getting rid of Jeff Carter and Mike Richards because "they partied" plus needed to free up cap space to give goalie Ilyz Bryzgalov a lucrative contract which blew up in their face. This wasn't the lone move that's made the Flyers a joke to the point where they're way too far away from being championship contenders but way too far away from the top picks of the draft to get elite players such as McDavid and Eichel and keeping them in the worst possible spot, "Hockey Purgatory."

They did get some decent pieces in the Carter and Richards trades that brought them in Wayne Simmonds, Jakub Voracek, Brayden Schenn, and a first round pick that became Sean Couturier. Simmonds and especially Voracek have been great. Claude Giroux has also been very good as well. However, the Flyers lack secondary scoring outside their top players along with a terrible defense corps and lackluster goaltending.

Other moves that blew up in their face were giving up on former second overall pick James Van Riemsdyk, trading him to the Leafs for failed defenseman Luke Schenn, also giving up on future Vezina Trophy winner Sergei Bobrovsky after signing Bryzgalov,  trading Scott Hartnell, and signing a past his prime Vincent LeCavalier. Despite those awful moves by Paul Holmgren, Holmgren, a former Flyers player, was promoted to team President and replaced by yet another former Flyer player, Ron Hextall as GM.

They recently fired former Flyer player Craig Berube and replaced him with the successful University of North Dakota head coach, a move I like that's different. This is the same franchise that kept Bobby Clarke as GM forever after he played for them and was their captain when they won two Stanley Cups in the 1970s. Clarke of course is still in the organization in the front office after making a lot of bonehead moves as a GM. This is a team, like the Bruins, who have to keep their former players in the organization and parade them out to the fans despite their failures.

In recent years, the Colorado Avalanche have hired former Stanley Cup winners goalie Patrick Roy as both head coach and vice president of hockey operations and former captain Joe Sakic as GM. Can they add Peter Forsberg and Adam Foote to the team as well? Maybe even Claude Lemieux? Their first year they went from the second-worst record to winning the division and a 100-point season in 2013-14 season. They lost in the first round as many analytics experts thought they were lucky and called for them to lose to the Minnesota Wild in the first round.

They called for a serious regression this season even though Roy and Sakic laughed at that. They "played the game" and knew more than "analytics nerds" know. They had the second-worst Corsi for (only behind the Sabres) this past season and missed the playoffs and finished with the 10th worst record this season. Once again, the analytics and advanced stats crowd called a regression much like they did a couple years ago with the Toronto Maple Leafs.

The problem is that in any sport, not just hockey, bringing in players or coaches or whatever from the past glory days is usually a problem. Very teams had success when bringing in past glory because players don't usually make great coaches or GMs or front office personnel. Players with that same franchise usually don't bring a fresh perspective to a struggling team and try to relive the glory days. They also try to sell the past to fans which almost always never works out. You need a fresh perspective and a fresh set of eyes from outside the organization to tell what's really wrong with the organization.

Recently, the Edmonton Oilers had problems with former players Kevin Lowe and Craig MacTavish being the President and GM and even head coach and running that team into the ground. They were a joke for a long time as for some reason, the organization could not let go of the past. Now they seem to have done a better job at bringing in GM and head coach from outside the organization.

New Jersey has had Lou Lamoriello as GM forever and had success but recently, they've struggled as Lamoriello has failed to adapt to the newer NHL. Last year, they fired Peter DeBoar as head coach and brought in, get this, former Devil Scott Stevens along with another former Hall of Fame player Adam Oates (who failed as a head coach with his former team Washington how about that) to be the head coach.

If bringing in former franchise players are a problem, bringing in former longtime failure coaches and GMs to be coaches and GMs because they're buddy-buddy with other coaches and GMs to bring more stench of failure. New Jersey brought in former failed Pittsburgh GM Ray Shero as their new GM. Way to keep up with the times and evolve and grow. That's why the Devils aren't going anywhere for a long time. It's like when the Penguins replaced Shero last year with another former failure GM Jim Rutherford, who was fired by Carolina after he did a miserable job.

The Bills and Sabres used to have these problems for years, bringing in former players and coaches back to the team or bringing in failed coaches and GMs and scouts, etc. That is until now as both Bills and Sabres, thanks to Terry and Kim Pegula, have brought in fresh brand new ideas with people from outside the organization to bring in a fresh pair of eyes and perspective to build a winner. These are organizations both known for losing and to build a winner, you need to go away from the stench of failure that breeds among both teams.

I love the direction both the Bills and especially Sabres are heading into. It's great to see how the Sabres are almost nothing like the team a year ago. They're adding Jack Eichel, Evander Kane, and Ryan O'Reilly to the mix. This is a complete 180 from last year's mess.

Friday, June 26, 2015

Sabres Officially Draft Jack Eichel and Acquire O'Reiily on Busy and Exciting Draft Day

The future of the Buffalo Sabres starts tonight with the drafting of Jack Eichel (assuming he signs with us and doesn't go back to college which I believe he won't). He's our franchise player and it will be awesome to have a forward/ No. 1 center be our franchise elite player. It's been way too long since what LaFontaine or maybe even Perrault? Sure even Briere and Drury were very good for the short time they were here but this is an 18-year-old kid who will be here for a good 15 years or so helping leading this team to the promised land. Who doesn't love it when Tim Murray doesn't do the BS of thanking everyone just goes "Buffalo selects Jack Eichel" like he did last year with Sam Reinhart?

Eichel is considered to be one of the best prospects in the last what 15-20 years? Since then Eichel has been considered the number one pick in every draft in that time except the Alex Ovechkin, Sidney Crosby, and of course the Connor McDavid years. Ovechkin and Crosby helped turn their teams around from miserable failures to success and McDavid should do the same with Edmonton. I've heard Eichel compared to fellow American Mike Modano (1988 #1 overall pick) and current stars Steven Stamkos and Jeff Carter.

As of that wasn't enough, they traded for a goalie early in the day (http://buffalosportsbeat.blogspot.com/2015/06/sabres-acquire-goalie-robin-lehner-and.html) and right after selecting Eichel, the Sabres announced they traded for Ryan O'Reilly. They traded Nikita Zadorov, Mikhail Grigorenko, JT Compher, and the 31st pick in this year's draft for O'Reilly and forward Jamie McGinn. O'Reilly gives them a legitimate number two center behind Eichel and gives the Sabres one of the best center depth in the NHL with Zemgus Girgensons and Sam Reinhart also on the roster.

Now O'Reilly has one year left on his deal that carries a $6 million cap hit which the Avalanche matched an offer sheet signed two years ago by the Calgary Flames and that basically ruined the relationship between the Avs and O'Reilly. We have to sign O'Reilly and it appears he wants a deal in the $8 million range which might be steep but also kind of worth it given his offensive production and amazing two-way, possession game. He's the complete opposite of Cody Hodgson as a two-way player. Murray said they are preparing to offer him a big contract or else why did they trade so much for him?

Murray got a lot of flack for making this deal especially trading Zadorov. Zadorov can be a very good defenseman and showed flashes of brilliance last season. But he also really struggled at times and got benched and suspended and had an attitude of entitlement. That doesn't mean he should be gone yet he became expendable to make a big trade. Like I wrote the other day (http://buffalosportsbeat.blogspot.com/2015/06/i-would-trade-reinhart-for-oreilly-i.html), you have to be prepared to trade someone you might not want or be comfortable trading to improve your team and Zadorov (and maybe some who still had hope for Grigorenko) were the ones to go. Rasmus Ristolainen and Eichel are the only "untouchables" on this roster. We can fill another spot in free agency and one guy I'm very interested in is former Sabre Andrej Seker, who is a UFA. We don't have a guy on the defense for the power play and he's always been good at that and point producing even though a lot of people didn't like him here. I liked Sekera.

No surprise obviously McDavid went first overall with the Oilers. Arizona was not able to trade it's third overall pick (http://buffalosportsbeat.blogspot.com/2015/06/coyotes-looking-to-trade-pick-3-bruins.html) and instead took McDavid's Erie Otters' teammate Dylan Strome. Had the Sabres not picked in the top-2 for McDavid or Eichel, Strome would have been my top pick at number three. Toronto and Mike Babcock select center Mitch Marner, who finished a close second behind Strome for the OHL scoring title this past season which McDavid would have easily won had he not gotten hurt for six weeks of the season.

Carolina took Boston College defenseman Noah Hanifan and Carolina looks to get better on the blue line and they're a team I could see on the rise. Hanifan would make an excellent addition and partner for fellow defenseman Justin Faulk, who had a breakout season and franchise record-breaking season for most points by a defenseman. If they keep both Staals and maybe Jeff Skinner or get a great trade for him (http://buffalosportsbeat.blogspot.com/2015/06/jeff-skinner-might-be-available-id-go.html) they'll be on the rise no doubt. They're penalty kill (which dramatically) and possession numbers are both very great as first year head coach Bill Peters has done a great job and they finished the second half of the season really strong. They get a good goalie, they're a playoff team.

The team who hosted the draft, the Florida Panthers, took Lawson Crouse 11th overall. Crouse was talked as a possible top-5 pick as he was 5th in the final NHL Central Scouting rankings because of his size and scoring ability plus his play in the World Juniors this past season for Team Canada. He did not score a lot in juniors which is a red flag in my opinion as he was nowhere even close to the scoring leaders, but he did jump up significantly this past season from the season before as he went from 27 to 51 points. However, he still ranked 63rd in the OHL scoring race. 63rd!!! He just averaged under a point a game in a league where the best scorers averaged 2 points a game (or in McDavid's case close to 3 points a game). He has high bust potential but could be the next Milan Lucic or Todd Bertuzzi if it pans out, maybe even better. We shall see.

Ottawa took young American center prospect Colin White, who is considered one of the better prospects in this deep draft, 21st overall with the Sabres pick. White is considered to play for Boston College this upcoming season but who knows. The one and only goalie taken in the first round one pick after as the Washington Capitals took Ilya Samsonov 22nd overall as he was expected to go late in round one and if the Sabres still had pick 21, they'd probably take him.

One last thing is that the Boston Bruins continue to make mind numbing decision after decision. It didn't matter that Peter Chiarelli was fired for making mind numbing trades like Phil Kessel for two first round picks what turned out to be Tyler Seguin and Dougie Hamilton then trading Seguin for garbage and put them in the place they're currently in. I didn't even mention Joe Thornton going for practically nothing before Chiarelli was GM but they get credit because they won the Cup. Yes they did get lucky trading Kessel, who even though he produces points, he doesn't always show up and puts in terrible efforts night in night out and is awful defensively. Seguin and Hamilton should have taken your team to the Cup for many years to come. I don't know what's in the water in Boston but whoever the GM is, makes dumb decisions enough said.

Reports were they were interested in trading top defenseman Dougie Hamilton to the Coyotes for the third pick in the draft to take Hanifan but instead, they trade him to Calgary for the 15th overall pick?!?! Huh? Don Sweeney is doing a great job let me tell you (smh). They also traded Milan Lucic to Los Angeles for the 13th overall pick and restricted free agent goalie Martin Jones combine the two picks with their own, they had the 13th, 14th, and 15th overall picks in the draft. Many thought they'd trade all 3 or 2 of the 3 along with either Jones or Tukka Rask to move up but did not.

Trading Lucic no big deal as he's on the decline. But trading Hamilton a #1 defenseman for many years to come for basically nothing is just pathetic and I will enjoy them being a bottom feeder for quite some time. They fired Chiarelli and should fired Sweeney as well along with President Cam Neely. They want to be a physical and tough team and I say fine, we'll just circle around you like we did 10 years ago after the lockout. I love how teams bring in former players to run their teams into the ground. I'll write more about that in the coming days.

Buffalo is a team on the rise and I for one can't wait for this season to start. Next year's draft will be held here in Buffalo even though more than likely next year's draft won't be as important as they should be on the way towards winning. Let's go Buffalo!!

Sabres Acquire Goalie Robin Lehner and David Legwand from the Senators for the 21st Pick; That's a Very Steep Price for a Backup Goalie; I Have to Admit This is My First Move from Murray That I Seriously Question!!! Prove Me Wrong Tim

The Sabres announced they traded their 21st overall pick (from the New York Islanders) to the Ottawa Senators for Goalie Robin Lehner and soon-to-be 35-year-old Center David Legwand. Tim Murray goes back to his roots in Ottawa getting a guy who he scouted and drafted. The price seems a little steep because he's 30-36-13 record with a 2.88 goals against average and a .914 save percentage. Essentially, the Sabres traded Thomas Vanek back in Oct. 2013 for Lehner and Legwand.

Lehner got off to a great start in his career with a .935 and .936 save percentages in the 2011-12 and 2012-13 seasons in limited starts. He got off to a great start with a .930 save % the first half of the 2013-14 season then ended the second half under .900 to finish with a .913. This past season, Lehner was sharing with Craig Anderson and only went 9-12-3 with a .905 save percentage before sustaining a concussion on Feb. 16 and did not play the rest of the season.

The emergence of Andrew Hammond last season further made Lehner expendable on the trade market. Hammond went 20-1-2 with a .941 save percentage following Lehner's injury and helped guide the Senators to the playoffs. Like I said, it seems like a steep price sending the 21st overall pick for him. There must be more than meets than eye however. Murray scouted him and spent time with him in the AHL and Ottawa so he must know about him and sees something in him.

The asking prices of Cam Talbot or Martin Jones must be too high and if that's the case and Lehner performs, then it's a steal. I am in the middle I don't think it's the worst move ever but definitely don't think it's the best move either. Andrew Peters is too unobjectionable about this giving it too much credit. You don't have to bash it but don't act like it's the best move ever as well. I will have to wait and see.

He turns 24 in July and has two years left on his deal and would only be a restricted free agent when his contract is done so maybe that drove the price up. Also, maybe there's more teams interested and Bryan Murray was trying to get the best offer possible and the Sabres gave him the best. Other teams probably weren't interested in offering a first round pick whereas the Sabres can and would.

I like some of the things I've read and heard about him. I've also liked what I heard about Ville Leino too but let's not go there. Lehner should benefit from a better team and hopefully a better offense and defense that the Sabres will have. Ottawa is not that great. Legwand means nothing too me, he's got only one-year left at $3 million and could be waived.

It will be interesting to see Lehner vs. Hammond goalie matchups. Did Tim Murray raise the goalie market up significantly? We'll see what others go for. New York and LA and others will definitely ask for much more than the Senators did. Will Murray part ways with next year's first round pick for a top-6 forward? Hopefully even though that pick can turn into a lottery top-3 pick if they miss the playoffs and get a top-3 pick in the lottery.

What Can the Sabres Do at 21? Get a Goalie? Or Get a Top-6 Forward Like Skinner, O'Reilly, or Okposo?

With all the hype of getting Jack Eichel, there is the question of what to do at pick #21? Do the Sabres get a goalie and/or a top-6 forward like Jeff Skinner, Ryan O'Reilly, or even Kyle Okposo? For goalie, the top guys to be traded are New York Rangers' backup Cam Talbot and Vancouver's backup Eddie Lack.

The Rangers reportedly want two first round picks but could just want pick #21 from the Sabres and a conditional pick, That pick might be too high for a goalie. Lack could go for a 2nd or even 3rd round pick and that could be a good price. There's also LA Kings' backup Martin Jones, who they could go after with an offer sheet as he's a restricted free agent.

The Hurricanes are looking to move Skinner (http://buffalosportsbeat.blogspot.com/2015/06/jeff-skinner-might-be-available-id-go.html) as they want to re-sign both Eric Staal and Cam Ward (I don't know why). The Hurricanes are in the position they are in because of giving Ward a big contract years ago in the first place. He's been mediocre at best and even great goalies who sign big contracts aren't worth that, it's even worse for a mediocre or worse goalie. I remember the game against them in the final week of the season last year where he was awful and cost them the game by allowing 4 goals and almost hurt our chances at McEichel.

O'Reilly (http://buffalosportsbeat.blogspot.com/2015/06/i-would-trade-reinhart-for-oreilly-i.html) is pretty much done in Colorado especially after they just gave Carl Soderberg a five-year deal nearly worth five million a year. I love how the Avalanche continue to fail and not use analytics to their advantage. Patrick Roy and Joe Sakic continue to thumb their nose at analytics because "they played the game."

Analytics called for a regression this past season after they miraculously won the division and had a 100-point season in 2013-14 after finishing with the second-worst record in 2012-13. Many analytics experts felt they were lucky to win the division and called for them to lose in the first round (which they did) and expected them to fail, which they did as they had the 10th worst record this past season.

Islanders' GM Garth Snow said he wasn't going to trade Okposo but take that with a grain of salt. Okposo is scheduled to be an unrestricted free agent at the end of the season. Okposo is a solid player who would be a good fit for the Sabres perhaps for the 21st overall pick. He's had 18 or more goals in three of the last four seasons (the only one he didn't was the lockout-shortened season) and has had 27 goals two seasons ago. He had 18 in only 60 games as he missed 22 with injury, which would put him around his career-high if he played the full season.

Patrick Sharp is also available but unlikely for the Sabres because of the steep asking price of the Blackhawks. The Blackhawks reportedly want a first round pick, a top prospect, AND a top six forward on an entry level contract. I expect the asking price to drop because Chicago needs to ,over some salaries because they're in cap trouble with the upcoming raises of Patrick Kane and Jonathan Toews. I like Sharp but not at that price.

Whatever happens later today will be very interesting. Don't expect Tim Murray to not just take Eichel as he will do whatever to improve this team as quickly as possible. For those who think this is a five-year project will be in for a rude awakening.

Happy Eichel Day!!! This Will Be Our Best (Non Goalie) Player Since LaFontaine? Perrault?

"Today is the Greatest Day Ever!" - Smashing Pumpkins
This is great!! Tonight in about 12 hours or so the Sabres make it official they're drafting Jack Eichel second overall!! This has to be the most excited anyone has ever been over the second overall pick in the NHL or any draft for that matter maybe ever?! We've been talking about Eichel for over a year more like a year and a half when we started hearing about how he was going to challenge Connor McDavid for the top spot in the 2015 NHL Draft. 

It felt like June 26, 2015 would never come but it's here finally!!! All our patience and sacrifice and suffering have finally paid off. Waiting and watching the team lose and getting into arguments with each other about whether or not we want the Sabres to win or lose for "McEichel" are all done. Thank God!!

This is the best offensive player since what? LaFontaine or even Perrault? I wasn't old enough to see Gilbert Perrault as he retired when i was about 4 or 5 years old. I definitely don't know the feeling it was when the Sabres drafted him as their first ever draft pick as I am sure no one really knew as the information isn't like it was today. I'm sure most felt he was the best player in the draft and the Sabres thankfully won the spinning of the wheel to get him so there might be some excitement. But I am sure no one followed this guy's career and even life for about two years. 

I was only about 10 years old when LaFontaine was traded here and I wasn't quite following hockey yet. A couple of years later is when I really started to follow hockey and the Sabres so LaFontaine (and Mogilny) were already here kicking ass. I'm sure most know he was a star with the Islanders when he was traded here and most were very excited to get him. But he wasn't a draft pick of ours and this isn't the same as it is today. 

Both LaFontaine and Perrault are Hall of Famers and we should expect Jack Eichel to be in that group maybe even better (no pressure). I expect him to be the best player in franchise history not just forward but even better than Dominik Hasek. I definitely want the greatest player in franchise history to be a scoring forward and not a goalie. I'm sick and tired of our better players in recent history to be a goalie and constantly be bailed out by a goalie every night. 

This is a new day and a new era!! The draft can't come soon enough. 

Coyotes Looking to Trade Pick #3; Bruins Rumored to Give up Dougie Hamilton for the Pick; They're Nuts if they Do That

The Arizona Coyotes are rumored to trade the third overall pick in tonight's draft. Teams rumored to be interested are the Columbus Blue Jackets, the Winnipeg Jets, and even the Boston Bruins. Sources state that the Bruins have talked to the Coyotes to move up to the third overall pick and reportedly are enamored with Boston College defenseman and Boston native Noah Hanifan.

Reports are that the Bruins would offer 22-year-old up-and-coming future star defenseman Dougie Hamilton as part of the deal. It would be ridiculous to trade a future star like Hamilton, a no. 1 defenseman, which is hard to come by, for what would be an 18-year-old rookie defenseman. Rookie defensemen usually struggle early on (unless you're Aaron Ekblad) and aren't no. 1 defensemen for at least a couple of seasons. Even our no. 1 Rasmus Ristolainen struggled a little early on.

Hanifan has potential to be a no. 1 but also has been listed as a potential bust as well. There are no guarantees with defensemen as there are with forwards. If I were to make this deal, I'd do it to move up for a no. 1 center in either Dylan Strome or Mitch Marner. Although Patrice Bergeron is a good no. 1 center, they need to find a younger possible replacement for him. They are also looking to move on from Milan Lucic and Zdeno Chara.

The Bruins are in cap trouble and might not be able to sign Hamilton, who is a restricted free agent. Boston and Hamilton are far apart in their contract negotiations. The Bruins have been a joke this decade trading away star forwards like Joe Thornton, Phil Kessel (say what you will about his effort which isn't great but he produces point wise), and especially Tyler Seguin. They essentially traded Kessel for Seguin as they traded Kessel for Toronto's first round pick, which ended up being the second overall pick and Seguin.

Those moves have come back to bite Boston in the rear, especially the Seguin deal. Yes they won the Cup in 2011 and went to the finals in 2013. Then they traded Seguin and have looked ridiculous in that trade as they got hosed by Dallas. Seguin looks like a star while no one in the trade has done anything for Boston. That's why Peter Chiarelli is the GM of the Edmonton Oilers right now. They were eliminated in the first round in the 2014 playoffs and missed the playoffs entirely last season and continuing to look like they're falling even farther. I couldn't be happier. Heck, Hamilton, helped get Boston in the playoffs last season before getting hurt and they struggled without him and missed the playoffs.

Boston President Cam Neely and new GM Don Sweeney want Boston to be even tougher than before and continue to be intent on trading skill for tougher players to be even tougher. Isn't that why they got into this mess in the first place? Well continue to be stupid and stubborn Boston while the rest of your division, and the Sabres, continue to lap you and laugh at you and your decisions.

Thursday, June 25, 2015

Jeff Skinner might be Available I'd go For Him; Maybe Eric or Jordan Staal Are Available Too

Jeff Skinner appears to now be on the trade market as well. Carolina is rebuilding picking in 5th in tomorrow night's draft. They are trying to get another high pick next year as well as possibly re-sign Eric Staal or else move him and brother Jordan and continue to rebuild. I'd take either Skinner or either Staal or take Skinner and maybe even Eric in a salary dump and let him play out one year before he becomes a UFA.

Skinner is a very talented and productive offensive player. He's only 22 soon to be 23 years old so he's just beginning his career really despite being in the league for five seasons already. Skinner was the 2011 Calder Trophy winner as rookie of the year, playing all 82 games and scoring 31 goals at just 18 years old. He's the first player to win the award entirely as an 18 year old since Buffalo's Tom Barrasso did it in 1983-84.

Skinner has had injury problems especially with concussions as he only appeared in 64 games the following season but scoring 20 goals. He had 13 goals in the lockout shortened season in 2012-13 which would have amounted to about 25 goals in a full season. Skinner had a career-high 33 goals in 2013-14 after playing in 71 games after missing games because of a concussion. He regressed to 18 goals, 31 points in 77 games on a terrible Hurricanes team.

I'm sure Carolina would want a lot for Skinner and if I were them, I'd ask for next year's first round pick because if the Sabres miss the playoffs which is likely, they can get a chance at a top-3 pick next year in the lottery. I'm sure they're going to want one of our defenseman either Zadorov or Pysyk and maybe one of our top young forwards. If the Sabres are interested in winning which I think they are, they can't worry about next year's pick or any prospects, which I don't think Tim Murray will.

This is a Deep Draft But Will it Rival the 2003 Draft?

Tomorrow's NHL draft is considered to be a very deep, talent rich draft, especially in the first round. It's not just Connor McDavid and Jack Eichel, which are the top prizes, but the top-5, 10, maybe even the entire first round has potential great talent. It's supposed to be the deepest draft since the 2003 NHL Draft. The question is will be be as deep as 2003? (http://www.cbc.ca/sports/hockey/nhl/nhl-draft-can-this-year-s-class-rival-2003-1.3126035) Here's an old article from five years ago (http://news.nationalpost.com/sports/nhl/further-proof-that-the-2003-nhl-entry-draft-was-the-best-of-all-time).

NHL drafts usually don't produce a ton except for the top three-to-five picks. It's really a crap shoot when you get out of the top-5, top-10. The 2003 NHL Draft however did not just produce talent at the top. No way, the vast majority of the first round picks turned out to have very productive careers in the NHL. Not only was the first round very successful, the second produced a decent amount of talent as did the rest of the rounds in that draft.

This is probably the best draft in NHL history, some say even better than the 1979 NHL draft that featured a total of five hall of famers including Mark Messier, Ray Bourque, and Mike Gartner with three of the hall of famers selected in the first round (Messier was taken the 3rd round). Technically there's six hall of famers from that draft if you count Dino Ciccarelli, who went undrafted.

12 of the 21 first round picks that year were selected to at least one All-Star game, 19 of the 21 picks played in at least 450 NHL games and every one of the 21 picks played in at least 200 games. 82% of the total picks played in at least NHL game. This might still be the best of all time depending on how many of the players from the 2003 draft make it to the Hall of Fame. The 1979 draft could be even greater if then 18-year-old Wayne Gretzky entered the draft, but his rights were retained by the Edmonton Oilers after they had him in the WHA before they moved to the NHL.

Anyways back to 2003, every one of the 30 picks in the first round went on to play at least one game in the NHL with 28 of those playing in at least 200 games. 14 of those 30 made it to at least one All-Star game, 12 have representer their country in the Olympics, and nine have won the Stanley Cup. Five players in the draft (including second round pick Patrice Bergeron) played significant playing time in their rookie seasons and every player drafted in the top-10 played in at least nine games by the end of the 2005-06 season.

The first overall pick of that year's draft was Marc-Andre Fleury. This is second time ever and hasn't happened since that the #1 overall pick was used on a goalie (Rick DiPietro in 2000 was the other). Roberto Luongo was the previous highest at #4 in 1997 and Kari Lehtonen was second in 2002. Drafting goalies in round 1 is never really a good idea (unless its at the bottom of round 1 and you have depth everywhere else) because you can find goalies anywhere in the draft. Many of the best goalies in NHL history were taken outside the first round.

Both #1 overall pick goalies have been busts, DiPietro more so because of his 15-year contract but he was pretty good until then until injuries and inconsistent play along with having to live up to that gigantic contract. Fleury was actually very good early in Pittsburgh, winning a Stanley Cup in 2009 after being in the finals the year before. He was very good in those two playoff runs and gave the Penguins hope for a long term goalie. Since then however, his performances have been laughable in the postseason with sub-.900 save percentages from 2010-15 playoffs and usually losing in the first or second rounds to lesser teams because of his awful play.

It makes you think he was only good because of the teams he had early on with Sidney Crosby, Evgeni Malkin, Jordan Staal, and other veterans they'd acquire at the trade deadlines. Fleury's postseason performances post-Cup have gotten current Sabres head coach Dan Bylsma fired from Pittsburgh. Fleury has looked like a bust since 2009 and does not look like anything worth the number one overall pick, which is why I would never use a top-3, top-5, top-10, pretty much almost any first round pick on a goalie. He was the first of four consecutive top-2 picks in the draft followed by Crosby, Malkin, and Staal.

The Penguins could have been better served with the number two overall pick, center Eric Staal, who went to Carolina and helped them win the Cup in 2006. Third went to Florida, who took winger Nathan Horton, who has had a very good career but injuries prevented what could have been an even better career. He did help Boston win the Stanley Cup in 2011 and to the finals again in 2013. He had six consecutive 20-goal seasons and had 17 and 13 after playing in 46 and 43 games in 2012 and 2013 respectively. A back injury has pretty much ended his career now. Interestingly, Florida held the number one overall pick as they won the draft lottery for the second year in a row. But for the second year in a row, they traded the pick to move down to #3. In 2002, they passed on a chance to take Rick Nash 1st overall to move down to take defenseman Jay Bouwmeester.

Nikolay Zherdev went fourth with the Columbus Blue Jackets. He had a couple of productive 27 and 26 goal seasons with Columbus before being traded to the New York Rangers in 2008. He had 23 goals and 58 points with the Rangers before leaving to go to the KHL in a messy contract dispute. He since bounced around between teams in the KHL and one year in Philadelphia and has since become somewhat of a bust.

Buffalo took Thomas Vanek fifth overall in what was a great pick and never had fewer than 20 goals in any season in the NHL. Twice he's had 40 goal seasons along two other 30+ goal seasons with the Sabres. His 20 goals in 2012-13 came in only 38 games as it was a lockout-shortened season and it would have projected to 43 over a full 82-game season, which would tie his career high. The Sabres drafted Vanek shortly after he led the Minnesota Golden Gophers to the 2003 NCAA National Championship and was named Frozen Four Tournament MVP in Buffalo nonetheless.

The rest of the top-10 Milan Michalek, Ryan Suter, Brayden Coburn, Dion Phaneuf, and Andrei Kostitsyn. All have been pretty good except Coburn, who started strong but has fallen off, and Kostitsyn, who had three 20+ goal seasons before injuries and going to the KHL ended his time in the NHL. Phaneuf had a 20-goal season his rookie season and was a force in his first few seasons with Calgary before he regressed both offensively and defensively and was traded to Toronto, and has never lived up to his early years.

Other great players in the first round include: Jeff Carter, Dustin Brown, Brent Seabrook, Zach Parise, Brent Burns, Ryan Kessler, Mike Richards, and Anaheim got two players who helped them win a Cup in 2007 and have been one of the better teams in the NHL post-2004 Lockout in Ryan Getzlaf (19th overall) and Corey Perry (who went 28th overall). Tim Murray was working in Anaheim at that time under his uncle and then-Ducks' GM Bryan Murray.

The first round wasn't the only round to produce All-Star talent. The second round produced such talent as Loui Eriksson, Patrice Bergeron, Matt Carle, Shea Weber, Corey Crawford, David Backes, and Jimmy Howard. After a couple of so-so rounds 3 and 4, which saw the Sabres take Clarke MacArthur in the 3rd round, the talent picks back up again with Western New York's own Lee Stempniak being picked in round 5. Joe Pavelski was taken in the 7th round. Defensemen Tobias Enstrom and Dustin Byfuglien were taken in the 8th round (the NHL Draft is only 7 rounds long now). The ninth and final round produced current Sabre Matt Moulson and goalies Jaroslav Halak and Brian Elliott (who was the next-to-last pick of the draft).

That's an amazing amount talent in one entire draft. It's tough to say whether this draft will produce anything close to that. It will be a deep draft no doubt. Will it be like 2003? Only time will tell. One thing for sure though is the top two picks this year will definitely be better than 2003. The Sabres will get their franchise guy no doubt.

Carey Price Cleans Up NHL Awards; Montreal Needs to Build a Better Team; I Would Hate to be the Canadiens

Last night Montreal Canadiens goalie Carey Price cleaned up the NHL Awards by winning both the Hart and Vezina Trophies, the first goalie to do that since Jose Theodore did it for the Canadiens in 2002 which is surprising. Dominik Hasek did it for us in 1997 and 1998. Price also won the Ted Lindsay Award for MVP voted on by the players of the NHL (first goalie to win the Lindsay since Hasek) and the William Jennings Trophy for fewest goals allowed during the regular season (189). Price clearly is the MVP of the league because he carries the Canadiens and carried them to the division title and 50 wins and 110 points.

Price has led the Canadiens to back-to-back 100 point seasons and three in a row if the lockout shortened 2012-13 season went 82 games as they had 63 points in 48 games (107 points over 82 games) and won two division titles in those three seasons. Problem has not been the regular season as Price has been a huge part of their success the past three seasons. The problem has been in the playoffs where they lost in the second round this past season to the Tampa Bay Lightning, who I thought were much better than Montreal despite finishing behind them in the standings.

I thought Tampa was the best team in the East this season because of all their young star players that they drafted at the top of the draft (along with a few select players found elsewhere in the draft). Hopefully the Sabres will emulate that success with their top draft picks, namely Jack Eichel. Ok, Montreal did lose in six games to the Rangers in the Eastern Conference Finals in 2014, but the Rangers, who as great if not better goalie, had much better skilled players than Montreal and beat them. The Canadiens were upset in the first round to the seventh seeded Ottawa Senators in 2013.

The problem with the Canadiens is that they lack a lot of skilled forwards that can score on a consistent basis and need a couple of top-3 draft pick forwards that can be stars (as do a lot of teams). That's what wins in the NHL, top-3 picks. Max Pacioretty is their best forward as he scored 37 goals and 67 points. Tomas Plekanec is pretty good as is Brendan Gallagher. Alex Galchenyuk has not lived up to the hype since being drafted 3rd overall three years ago. He did have his first 20-goal season of his career, but has been moved from center to wing as he has not yet shown he can be a center. Their other source of offense comes from P.K. Subban, who scored 60 points and is usually up there with Erik Karlsson for most points scored by a defenseman.

Despite allowing the fewest goals (thanks to Price and Subban), the Canadiens were only 18th in goals scored and even worse, they were just 23rd in Corsi. You don't win Stanley Cups with that bad of a Corsi rating as teams that win the Cup rank near or at the top. They don't have enough skilled players to have a great Corsi nor maybe they're coach isn't good at it or maybe they rely way too much on Price and Subban. I think the answer is all of the above. Another reason I thought the Canadiens weren't that great of a team was because they struggled to beat bad teams, namely the Buffalo Sabres. The 30th place Sabres went 3-0-1 against them this season. That's awful.

The Canadiens really need to build a better team in front of Price. Sadly, they are in no position to be able to tank and finish near or at the bottom of the league and get high picks as they are usually very good in the regular season. Problem is they won't ever win the Cup nor contend for it in their current model. Yes they'll have 100-point seasons. Yes they'll have division titles. Yes they'll even win a playoff series or even get to a conference finals on the strength of Price. But they'll never win the Cup or even seriously contend in this form.

This is why I would hate to be the Canadiens right now because they're in no man's land. Boston, Philadelphia, and New Jersey are probably worse off than Montreal because Montreal will have great regular seasons. But the Canadiens are nowhere close to getting elite level forwards that you need to win the Cup or contend on a regular basis. They have the elite goalie and elite defenseman to win the Cup but not the forwards which is what you need to win the Cup as Cup winners have several top-3 picks in the draft.

Montreal is probably never going to tank or bottom out anytime soon and will continue to rely on Price to win them and bail them out of games. They'll have their great regular seasons but nothing to show for it. This reminds me of the Sabres teams from a few years ago with Ryan Miller where they won the division and made the playoffs but lost in the first round because they didn't have elite forwards. That's something I never want to be in ever again where we build around a goalie and can't win without that guy in net. I don't ever want that nor do I wish that on my enemies.

Thankfully, the Sabres won't have to rely on elite goalies as their best player is not a goalie. Yes we need a goalie but I want the elite level forwards and find the goalie instead of the other way around. One team that knows from experience how that never works is the Buffalo Sabres.

Wednesday, June 24, 2015

I Would Trade Reinhart for O'Reilly; I Don't Need to Trade Reinhart but He's not Untouchable

Ryan O'Reilly is about out of Colorado and it would be great if the Sabres got him. He is a top-6 forward who could play either center on the wing. He is a two-way player who can score but play defense and shut down opponent's top lines. O'Reilly has one year left on his deal and it appears he'll be too rich for Colorado to sign.

The Avalanche have already given some of their high draft picks contract extensions in recent seasons (Matt Duchene and Gabriel Landeskog) and the top pick of the 2013 NHL Draft Nathan MacKinnon's entry level deal is up after next season. They'll need to save some room for that. They already let Paul Stastny go in free agency last season and will likely let O'Reilly go, but not before his contract is up.

The asking price might be high to get O'Reilly out of Colorado. I don't think any team (including the Sabres) will trade for him unless they agree to a contract extension with O'Reilly first. It could mean at least this year's 21st overall pick and maybe next year's first along with prospects such as a defenseman and a forward. I know some have their heart set on giving up Jake McCabe but they'd want a top-3 either Zadorov or Pysyk. Obviously they'd want Ristolainen but he's untouchable. He's the only untouchable player on this team except Jack Eichel.

I bet many want the Sabres to deal Grigerenko even though he's an RFA because Patrick Roy was his junior coach. Do they want someone who is considered scrap? I bet they'd want someone like JT Compher, Hudson Fasching, and Justin Bailey. They might however want Sam Reinhart. Would you be ok and comfortable to trade Reinhart?

I definitely don't need Reinhart traded. I'd love to see how he'd do here in Buffalo. However, he's not untradable either. I'd definitely believe he'll be a very good player because he was drafted 2nd overall and players drafted at the top of the draft are usually good. I trust in the system. He may or may not be a star however. He'll definitely generate interest in a trade that's for sure.

There's a chance Reinhart can be better than O'Reilly but it's possible he'd end up just as good. That being 20-30 goals, 55-65 points, and being a very good two-way center either 2nd or even 3rd line of Girgensons is the 2nd line center. Of course if he's going to be as good as O'Reilly maybe just make the trade then for O'Reilly.

We kind of forget about Reinhart with the addition of Jack Eichel and we'll be good with or without Reinhart. Make no mistake I'm not advocating for him to be gone lthat's not what I'm saying. I'm saying if a trade makes this team better than explore that option and don't be afraid of him possibly being a star elsewhere. Tim Murray definitely does not worry about what anyone does elsewhere unlike Darcy Regier because he only cares about how this team does. If the other player turns out great than that's super. It's actually good to have deals help out other teams or else they won't want to deal with you.

O'Reilly's career high in goals and points are 28 and 64 in 2013-14. He also led the NHL in takeaways that season as well. He's great defensively and is a very good possession player. He also usually leads his team in ice time as well. It's amazing how great of a two-way possession player he is on one of the worst possession teams in hockey and one of the analytically challenged organizations in the NHL.

Does it scare you to possibly trade Reinhart, Zadorov, or Pysyk? It should but hockey trades for good players needs to include good players and players you aren't comfortable to part ways with. Even the Evander Kane deal might have had its share of detractors whether you hate trading Joel Armia or Brendan Lemieux or maybe even Tyler Myers if you were one of the ones who still had hope in him.

I remember people used to say "let's trade Ryan Miller for Patrick Kane or Ryan Getzlaf or Cory Parry" and I'd be like who else you want to give up because Miller alone won't do it. You'd have to trade Myers when he was at his best just to get the conversation started.  Unlike video games, you can't trade your garbage you don't want for someone great, it doesn't work that way. You need to trade someone you don't necessarily want to part ways with. I'm just warning all you that it might include Reinhart or Zadorov.

But if you want to win now and improve the roster, you have to make tough decisions and Tim Murray is the man to make them. He won't always be right just a heads up but I think he'll be more right than wrong.