According to http://nhllotterysimulator.com/, I run a simulation of how the draft lottery is. Remember for the first time ever, the draft lottery includes the top-3 picks so Toronto, who finished dead last, can draft as low as fourth as you can now drop three spots.
Here is the draft order from 1-14 from worst to the highest team not in the playoffs (Boston) and the odds of the number one overall pick as well as second and third written right next to them
1. Toronto (20%, 22.099%, 22.346%)
2. Edmonton, God I hope they don't win the lottery yet again (13.5%, 16.875%, 18.367%)
3. Vancouver, good for them for finally tanking, (11.5%, 14.375%, 15.646%)
4. Columbus, who always blows a chance at finishing 30th every year by winning late meaningless games (9.5%, 11.875%, 12.925%)
5. Calgary (8.5%, 10.625%, 11.565%)
6. Winnipeg, who blew a shot at 30th by winning their final four games in absolutely meaningless fashion but I digress (7.5%, 9.375%, 10.204%)
7. Arizona (6.5%, 8.125%, 7.263%)
8. Buffalo (6%, 7.5%, 8.163%)
9, Montreal (5%, 6.25%, 6.803%)
10. Colorado (3.5%, 4.375%, 4.762%)
11. New Jersey (3%, 3.75%, 4.082%)
12. Ottawa (2.5%, 3.125%, 3.401%)
13. Carolina (2%, 2.5%, 2.721%)
14. Boston (1%, 1.25%, 1.361%)
After running the draft simulator, here is the order from 14 to 3. I have listed the team in the proper number along with in parenthesis the actual team who should be there.
14. Boston (Boston)
13. Carolina (Carolina)
12, Ottawa (Ottawa)
11. New Jersey (New Jersey)
10. Colorado (Colorado)
9. Montreal (Montreal)
8. Buffalo (Buffalo)
7. Arizona (Arizona)
6. Winnipeg (Winnipeg)
5. Calgary (Calgary)
4. Edmonton (Columbus)
This means that Edmonton will not be in the lottery and that Columbus, Vancouver, and Toronto will be in the lottery. Here's the picks:
3. Vancouver (Vancouver)
And the winner of the 2016 NHL Draft Lottery is.....Columbus which means Toronto will pick second. Columbus will draft Auston Matthews. Good Night Everyone.
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