According to http://nhllotterysimulator.com/, I run a simulation of how the draft lottery is. Remember for the first time ever, the draft lottery includes the top-3 picks so Toronto, who finished dead last, can draft as low as fourth as you can now drop three spots.
Here is the draft order from 1-14 from worst to the highest team not in the playoffs (Boston) and the odds of the number one overall pick as well as second and third written right next to them
1. Toronto (20%, 22.099%, 22.346%)
2. Edmonton (13.5%, 16.875%, 18.367%)
3. Vancouver (11.5%, 14.375%, 15.646%)
4. Columbus (9.5%, 11.875%, 12.925%)
5. Calgary (8.5%, 10.625%, 11.565%)
6. Winnipeg (7.5%, 9.375%, 10.204%)
7. Arizona (6.5%, 8.125%, 7.263%)
8. Buffalo (6%, 7.5%, 8.163%)
9, Montreal (5%, 6.25%, 6.803%)
10. Colorado (3.5%, 4.375%, 4.762%)
11. New Jersey (3%, 3.75%, 4.082%)
12. Ottawa (2.5%, 3.125%, 3.401%)
13. Carolina (2%, 2.5%, 2.721%)
14. Boston (1%, 1.25%, 1.361%)
After running the draft simulator, here is the order from 14 to 3. I have listed the team in the proper number along with in parenthesis the actual team who should be there.
14. Boston (Boston)
13. Carolina (Carolina)
12. Ottawa (Ottawa)
11. New Jersey (New Jersey)
10. Colorado (Colorado)
9. Montreal (Montreal)
8. Buffalo (Buffalo)
7. Arizona (Arizona)
6. Winnipeg (Winnipeg)
5. Columbus (Calgary)
Columbus falls one spot to #5 as Calgary moves into the top-3.
4. Vancouver (originally Columbus, now Vancouver)
Vancouver drops one spot to 4th as Edmonton and Toronto joins Calgary in the top-3.
The third pick of the 2016 NHL Draft will be.....the Toronto Maple Leafs. The second pick of the 2016 NHL Draft is......the Calgary Flames, which means that the Edmonton Oilers win the 2016 NHL Draft Lottery as they win it for the fifth time in seven years and yet still finish at the bottom of the standings. BOOOOOO!!!!!! Good night folks, not really a good night. Stupid Edmonton!!
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